# Short and Medium Term Outlook for Pork Prices - Pork Checkoff

> RaboResearch reports that pork prices have rebounded on tighter hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges. Trade flows are shifting as the EU and Latin America gain share amid US-China tensions. The 90-day US-China tariff reduction may not fully offset added tariffs on US pork.

- Date: 2025-05-05 · published 2025-05-05T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24808-short-and-medium-term-outlook-for-pork-prices-pork-checkoff
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md)

## Why it matters

Tight hog supply supports pork and hog prices, while lost Chinese share of US pork may weigh on export-linked demand and expansion. Slower US sector investment limits longer-term feed demand growth.

## Read by commodity

- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Linked price moves

| Commodity | Date | Window | Change % | z-score | Why linked |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2025-05-15 | 5 | +5.9% | 3.0 | Tighter US hog supplies from limited sow herd growth and health challenges are supportive for hog prices, and the report came just before the move. |
| HOGS | 2025-05-14 | 1 | +5.0% | 9.2 | Pork outlook notes tighter hog supplies and US-China tariff reduction, a supply and trade-flow narrative that could support lean hog prices, though dated a week before the move. |

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2022-05-19 | [Pig outlook: Lean hog futures post solid price recovery, China pork imports drop
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41553-pig-outlook-lean-hog-futures-post-solid-price-recovery-china-pork-imports-drop.md) | +3.1% | +5.5% |
| HOGS | 2026-03-18 | [Export demand expected to push U.S. pork prices higher](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20322-export-demand-expected-to-push-u-s-pork-prices-higher.md) | -1.8% | -2.6% |
| HOGS | 2020-01-24 | [Iowa Pork Congress: Jim Long talks USMCA, ASF, pig prices and more
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55226-iowa-pork-congress-jim-long-talks-usmca-asf-pig-prices-and-more-the-pig-site.md) | -4.9% | -4.2% |
| HOGS | 2020-01-23 | [Big wins on trade could mean big things for cattle and hog prices - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55229-big-wins-on-trade-could-mean-big-things-for-cattle-and-hog-prices-brownfield-ag.md) | -1.9% | -3.3% |
| HOGS | 2020-08-25 | [Protein shake up: China’s demand for pork, sorghum, corn surges \| Agriculture \| Al Jazeera](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51477-protein-shake-up-china-s-demand-for-pork-sorghum-corn-surges-agriculture-al.md) | -0.8% | +23.0% |

## Sources

- porkcheckoff.org: https://porkcheckoff.org/news/short-and-medium-term-outlook-for-pork-prices/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.