# USDA forecasts lower US soybean stocks, record crush for 2025/26 | Feed & Grain

> USDA's ERS May 2025 Oil Crops Outlook projects US soybean ending stocks for 2025/26 falling 55 million bushels to 295 million. The decline reflects record domestic crush of 2.49 billion bushels, with soybean planted area down 3.6 million acres to 83.5 million acres. Soybean oil use for biomass-based diesel is projected to rise 6%.

- Date: 2025-05-15 · published 2025-05-15T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24760-usda-forecasts-lower-us-soybean-stocks-record-crush-for-2025-26-feed-and-grain
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Tighter US soybean stocks, record crush and higher biofuel demand for soybean oil support soybean and soybean oil prices, which in turn shapes the cost and availability of meal for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2025-05-12 | [USDA May report: Record corn crop, tight soybean stocks for 2025-26](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24608-usda-may-report-record-corn-crop-tight-soybean-stocks-for-2025-26.md) | +0.6% | +1.1% |
| SOY | 2020-09-11 | [USDA Lowers Corn and Soybean Forecasts \| AgWired](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50974-usda-lowers-corn-and-soybean-forecasts-agwired.md) | +4.4% | +6.6% |
| SOY | 2021-04-16 | [Soy Crush Up; Short of Record \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47431-soy-crush-up-short-of-record-feed-and-grain.md) | +8.1% | +13.7% |
| SOY | 2021-01-05 | [USDA Reports Record Oilseed Crushing \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49250-usda-reports-record-oilseed-crushing-feed-and-grain.md) | +4.4% | +2.9% |
| SOY | 2025-02-27 | [USDA Forecasts Tighter-Than-Expected Soybean Ending Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26098-usda-forecasts-tighter-than-expected-soybean-ending-stocks.md) | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| SBO | 2025-03-14 | [Global soybean crush forecast hits record high amid increased demand \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25657-global-soybean-crush-forecast-hits-record-high-amid-increased-demand-feed-and.md) | +2.4% | +10.0% |
| SBO | 2018-09-12 | [USDA forecasts soybean crush to keep growing - McKeany-Flavell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63103-usda-forecasts-soybean-crush-to-keep-growing-mckeany-flavell.md) | -2.2% | +4.5% |
| SBO | 2025-07-14 | [USDA forecasts lower corn supplies, higher biofuel demand in latest outlook \| Feed & Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23712-usda-forecasts-lower-corn-supplies-higher-biofuel-demand-in-latest-outlook-feed.md) | -0.6% | -1.9% |

## Sources

- feedandgrain.com: https://www.feedandgrain.com/business-markets/commodities/news/15746102/usda-forecasts-lower-us-soybean-stocks-record-crush-for-202526

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.