# Indonesian palm oil exports set to fall with biofuel mandate - Nikkei Asia

> Indonesian crude palm oil exports are expected to fall in 2025 as domestic biofuel mandates absorb more output. Industry players forecast prices will nonetheless rise, citing US tariffs distorting the market and other geopolitical factors.

- Date: 2025-05-14 · published 2025-05-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Indonesia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24754-indonesian-palm-oil-exports-set-to-fall-with-biofuel-mandate-nikkei-asia
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Indonesian export availability tightens global palm supply, supporting palm prices and competing vegetable oil and meal demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2023-09-03 | [Indonesia, Malaysia push biofuel to offset palm oil price downturn - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15700-indonesia-malaysia-push-biofuel-to-offset-palm-oil-price-downturn-nikkei-asia.md) | -6.9% | -9.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2023-02-07 | [Indonesia shakes palm oil market again, eyeing biodiesel over exports - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15757-indonesia-shakes-palm-oil-market-again-eyeing-biodiesel-over-exports-nikkei-asia.md) | +0.2% | +4.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2025-11-14 | [Palm oil prices to spike in 2026 as Indonesia pushes biofuel policy - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22047-palm-oil-prices-to-spike-in-2026-as-indonesia-pushes-biofuel-policy-nikkei-asia.md) | -0.2% | -0.9% |
| PALMOIL | 2020-02-06 | [Indonesia’s biodiesel thirst may weaken palm oil exports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54503-indonesia-s-biodiesel-thirst-may-weaken-palm-oil-exports.md) | -2.7% | -11.2% |
| PALMOIL | 2018-08-06 | [Global palm oil prices set to rise on Indonesia's biodiesel mandate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63406-global-palm-oil-prices-set-to-rise-on-indonesia-s-biodiesel-mandate.md) | +1.8% | +0.9% |
| SBO | 2023-02-07 | [Indonesia shakes palm oil market again, eyeing biodiesel over exports - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15757-indonesia-shakes-palm-oil-market-again-eyeing-biodiesel-over-exports-nikkei-asia.md) | +1.6% | +1.8% |
| SBO | 2025-11-14 | [Palm oil prices to spike in 2026 as Indonesia pushes biofuel policy - Nikkei Asia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22047-palm-oil-prices-to-spike-in-2026-as-indonesia-pushes-biofuel-policy-nikkei-asia.md) | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| SBO | 2018-08-06 | [Global palm oil prices set to rise on Indonesia's biodiesel mandate](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63406-global-palm-oil-prices-set-to-rise-on-indonesia-s-biodiesel-mandate.md) | -1.3% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- asia.nikkei.com: https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/commodities/indonesian-palm-oil-exports-set-to-fall-with-biofuel-mandate

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.