# North American Oat Ending Stocks Flirting with Record Low Levels

> Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's Outlook for Principal Field Crops projects Canadian durum output down 7% to 5.4 Mt and oat production up to 3.4 Mt on 1.2 Mha. Dry pea area is forecast up 9%, and overall commodity prices are projected to fall for most field crops.

- Date: 2025-06-01 · published 2025-06-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Canada · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24714-north-american-oat-ending-stocks-flirting-with-record-low-levels
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Lower projected prices and larger Canadian oat and pea supply point to softer feed prices for those crops, while the durum decline is supportive for durum.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2025-12-18 | [Barley, Oat Ending Stocks Up from... \| Syngenta CA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21552-barley-oat-ending-stocks-up-from-syngenta-ca.md) | +6.0% | +5.3% |
| OATS | 2022-12-20 | [AAFC Forecasts Oat Stocks to Swell](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38289-aafc-forecasts-oat-stocks-to-swell.md) | +11.2% | +10.5% |
| OATS | 2019-07-30 | [Milling oats an option for paddocks with crown rot - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/58138-milling-oats-an-option-for-paddocks-with-crown-rot-grain-central.md) | +2.7% | +1.6% |
| OATS | 2026-06-30 | [Canadian farmers seed record canola acres: StatCan](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18841-canadian-farmers-seed-record-canola-acres-statcan.md) | +11.3% | +24.2% |
| OATS | 2023-01-18 | [All wheat stocks stored in Northwest Region up 18 percent from December 1, 2021 - Morning Ag Clips](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37874-all-wheat-stocks-stored-in-northwest-region-up-18-percent-from-december-1-2021.md) | +0.9% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-10 | [2018 begins with larger level of ending stocks on hand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66846-2018-begins-with-larger-level-of-ending-stocks-on-hand.md) | -0.6% | +5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-02-08 | [USDA Trims South American Production, Raises U.S. Ending Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31630-usda-trims-south-american-production-raises-u-s-ending-stocks.md) | -4.2% | -1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2020-11-10 | [USDA Lowers Corn, Soybean and Wheat Ending Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50091-usda-lowers-corn-soybean-and-wheat-ending-stocks.md) | -2.8% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- dtnpf.com: https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/blogs/canada-markets/blog-post/2025/05/26/north-american-oat-ending-stocks-low

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.