# China forecasts lower soybean imports in 2025/26 on plans to reduce soymeal use — TradingView News

> China's first 2025/26 CASDE outlook forecasts soybean imports falling 2.8% to 95.8 million tons as efforts to cut soymeal use in livestock feed reduce demand. Domestic soybean output is projected to rise 2.1% to 21.09 million tons.

- Date: 2025-05-12 · published 2025-05-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24650-china-forecasts-lower-soybean-imports-in-2025-26-on-plans-to-reduce-soymeal-use
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Chinese import demand for soybeans and soymeal is bearish for global soybean and meal prices, with Brazil and US exporters most exposed. The policy shift to less soymeal in feed weighs on the largest importer's future crush demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2018-07-12 | [China cuts soybean import forecast in face of trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63895-china-cuts-soybean-import-forecast-in-face-of-trade-war.md) | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| SOY | 2026-04-20 | [China sees lower soybean, pork imports in 2026 and over next decade, report shows - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19724-china-sees-lower-soybean-pork-imports-in-2026-and-over-next-decade-report-shows.md) | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| SOY | 2025-08-26 | [Soybeans fall for 2nd session on improved US rating — TradingView News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23363-soybeans-fall-for-2nd-session-on-improved-us-rating-tradingview-news.md) | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| SOY | 2025-02-27 | [USDA Forecasts Record Corn Crop, Larger Soybean Crop for 2025-26](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13114-usda-forecasts-record-corn-crop-larger-soybean-crop-for-2025-26.md) | -2.6% | -2.3% |
| SOY | 2018-11-08 | [USDA slashes China soybean import forecast 9.5%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62042-usda-slashes-china-soybean-import-forecast-9-5.md) | +0.3% | +5.6% |
| SBM | 2018-07-12 | [China cuts soybean import forecast in face of trade war](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63895-china-cuts-soybean-import-forecast-in-face-of-trade-war.md) | -1.4% | +1.2% |
| SBM | 2025-02-27 | [USDA Forecasts Record Corn Crop, Larger Soybean Crop for 2025-26](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13114-usda-forecasts-record-corn-crop-larger-soybean-crop-for-2025-26.md) | -0.1% | +0.6% |
| SBM | 2018-11-08 | [USDA slashes China soybean import forecast 9.5%](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62042-usda-slashes-china-soybean-import-forecast-9-5.md) | -0.7% | +0.4% |

## Sources

- tradingview.com: https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2025:newsml_L4N3RK13E:0-china-forecasts-lower-soybean-imports-in-2025-26-on-plans-to-reduce-soymeal-use/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.