# USDA forecasts Australian new-crop wheat at 31Mt - Grain Central

> USDA's May WASDE gave an initial 2025-26 Australian wheat production forecast of 31Mt, down from 34.1Mt. The report also projected record global wheat output of 808.5Mt, with EU and Canada up and Ukraine and the US lower.

- Date: 2025-05-13 · published 2025-05-13T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24628-usda-forecasts-australian-new-crop-wheat-at-31mt-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Australia's smaller crop cuts exportable supply, but a record global crop with higher EU and Russian output keeps overall wheat pressure bearish.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-02-15 | [ABARES puts Australian wheat crop at record 33.3Mt - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48594-abares-puts-australian-wheat-crop-at-record-33-3mt-grain-central.md) | +9.4% | +9.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-05 | [ABARES forecasts record wheat, canola crops - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38213-abares-forecasts-record-wheat-canola-crops-grain-central.md) | -9.5% | -0.8% |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-14 | [WASDE lifts Aus wheat, barley forecasts - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38637-wasde-lifts-aus-wheat-barley-forecasts-grain-central.md) | +0.8% | +0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2020-05-13 | [USDA forecasts intense competition on wheat, corn - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53176-usda-forecasts-intense-competition-on-wheat-corn-grain-central.md) | -0.4% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-08-22 | [USDA forecasts Australia's wheat crop to be up year on year \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28737-usda-forecasts-australia-s-wheat-crop-to-be-up-year-on-year-farm-online-act.md) | -0.8% | +2.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2023-05-15 | [USDA sees 26pc drop in Australia's new-crop wheat - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35906-usda-sees-26pc-drop-in-australia-s-new-crop-wheat-grain-central.md) | -7.6% | -10.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2020-07-13 | [Global wheat prices soften in June: USDA - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52172-global-wheat-prices-soften-in-june-usda-grain-central.md) | +0.3% | -7.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-02-23 | [USDA sees mixed crop forecasts in 2018 \| World-grain.com \| February 23, 2018 15:54 \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66354-usda-sees-mixed-crop-forecasts-in-2018-world-grain-com-february-23-2018-15-54.md) | +12.8% | +0.1% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/markets/usda-forecasts-australian-new-crop-wheat-at-31mt/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.