# Fair EU yield expectations despite drought concerns - Joint Research Centre

> The EU Joint Research Centre's MARS bulletin reports a severe spring rainfall deficit in north-western Europe, with soil moisture critically low there. Iberia, Italy and Greece have had abundant rain, with Spain and Portugal forecast 15-20% above the five-year average yields. Irreversible losses are expected in western Maghreb, eastern Ukraine and Cyprus.

- Date: 2025-05-26 · published 2025-05-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region EU · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24612-fair-eu-yield-expectations-despite-drought-concerns-joint-research-centre
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Mixed EU yield prospects leave wheat and barley supply uncertain, with northern dryness offset by southern gains. Buyers should watch for further moisture stress in key feed-grain regions, which could firm feed grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-02 | [Winter crops fare well despite cold and wet episodes - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20113-winter-crops-fare-well-despite-cold-and-wet-episodes-joint-research-centre.md) | +1.6% | +0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2026-04-27 | [Favourable crop conditions across Europe - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19659-favourable-crop-conditions-across-europe-joint-research-centre.md) | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-23 | [Crops exit from winter dormancy in favourable conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20108-crops-exit-from-winter-dormancy-in-favourable-conditions-joint-research-centre.md) | +0.7% | +0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-23 | [Escalating drought threatens Europe's ecosystems and agriculture - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24141-escalating-drought-threatens-europe-s-ecosystems-and-agriculture-joint-research.md) | -2.7% | -3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-25 | [Dry conditions allow sowing campaign to catch up - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27357-dry-conditions-allow-sowing-campaign-to-catch-up-joint-research-centre.md) | -0.0% | +2.3% |
| CORN | 2025-06-23 | [Positive yield expectations for EU winter cereals - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24137-positive-yield-expectations-for-eu-winter-cereals-joint-research-centre.md) | -1.5% | -3.7% |
| CORN | 2026-04-27 | [Favourable crop conditions across Europe - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19659-favourable-crop-conditions-across-europe-joint-research-centre.md) | +1.7% | +2.4% |
| CORN | 2026-03-23 | [Crops exit from winter dormancy in favourable conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20108-crops-exit-from-winter-dormancy-in-favourable-conditions-joint-research-centre.md) | -0.3% | -1.8% |

## Sources

- joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu: https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/fair-eu-yield-expectations-despite-drought-concerns-2025-05-26_en

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.