# Understanding Drought in Afghanistan: How ENSO Helps Us Predict Food Crises — NASA Harvest

> NASA Harvest reports on a new study of how ENSO affects drought and wheat production in Afghanistan from 2016 to 2021. The research links El Niño and La Niña phases to crop failures and food insecurity in the country.

- Date: 2025-05-07 · published 2025-05-07T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Afghanistan · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24599-understanding-drought-in-afghanistan-how-enso-helps-us-predict-food-crises-nasa
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

This is a food-security study about a small import market, with limited direct effect on global feed grain or oilseed prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-11-19 | [Afghanistan’s farmers, herders desperate for seed, food and cash \| UN News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43973-afghanistan-s-farmers-herders-desperate-for-seed-food-and-cash-un-news.md) | +0.5% | -7.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-27 | [CBoT corn drops on US harvest pressure - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/421-cbot-corn-drops-on-us-harvest-pressure-markets-business-recorder.md) | -0.2% | — |
| WHEAT | 2026-03-26 | [Wheat spread hits one-year high as drought fears grow in US plains](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20220-wheat-spread-hits-one-year-high-as-drought-fears-grow-in-us-plains.md) | +0.1% | +1.6% |
| WHEAT | 2020-12-11 | [Farsul projects 2020/2021 harvest with new drop in corn and recovery in soybeans - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49479-farsul-projects-2020-2021-harvest-with-new-drop-in-corn-and-recovery-in.md) | -1.6% | +4.0% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-17 | [Harvest plans critical for another big crop  \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40016-harvest-plans-critical-for-another-big-crop-the-land-nsw.md) | -10.0% | -10.7% |

## Sources

- nasaharvest.org: https://www.nasaharvest.org/news/understanding-drought-in-afghanistan-how-enso-helps-us-predict-food-crises

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.