# May 2025 ENSO update: eye of neutral

> NOAA Climate.gov's May 2025 ENSO update reports the tropical Pacific is in ENSO-neutral conditions, expected to persist through the Northern Hemisphere summer. Neutral is also the most likely outcome for fall and winter, with La Niña a close second.

- Date: 2025-06-01 · published 2025-06-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24585-may-2025-enso-update-eye-of-neutral
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A neutral ENSO state removes a strong climate driver, so weather-driven crop risk rests on regional patterns; the lack of a clear El Niño or La Niña signal leaves the seasonal outlook less certain for grain and oilseed supply.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-04-01 | [March 2025 ENSO update: neutral conditions expected soon](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25496-march-2025-enso-update-neutral-conditions-expected-soon.md) | +1.0% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2019-12-12 | [December 2019 ENSO update: neutral, rinse, repeat \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55496-december-2019-enso-update-neutral-rinse-repeat-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +5.5% | +5.7% |
| CORN | 2023-05-01 | [April 2023 ENSO update: El Niño Watch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36314-april-2023-enso-update-el-nino-watch.md) | +0.3% | -1.8% |
| CORN | 2023-05-18 | [Weekly update - 18 May 2023 - DAFF](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35904-weekly-update-18-may-2023-daff.md) | +5.6% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2025-05-30 | [Illinois Crop Update - May 30, 2025 - farmdoc](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13087-illinois-crop-update-may-30-2025-farmdoc.md) | -0.3% | -4.7% |
| SOY | 2025-04-01 | [March 2025 ENSO update: neutral conditions expected soon](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25496-march-2025-enso-update-neutral-conditions-expected-soon.md) | -3.1% | +2.6% |
| SOY | 2023-06-01 | [May 2023 ENSO update: El Niño knocking on the door](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35865-may-2023-enso-update-el-nino-knocking-on-the-door.md) | +4.7% | +14.1% |
| SOY | 2019-12-12 | [December 2019 ENSO update: neutral, rinse, repeat \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55496-december-2019-enso-update-neutral-rinse-repeat-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +3.9% | +4.6% |

## Sources

- climate.gov: https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/may-2025-enso-update-eye-neutral

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.