# Israel-Iran conflict leads to urea supply woes; global fob values rally by 25-30%

> Global urea fob values rose 16-25% within a few days of the Israel-Iran conflict starting, with major benchmarks in North Africa and the Middle East reaching levels not seen since late 2022. Iranian production has been curtailed, and Egyptian producers have lost all feedstock after Israeli gas flows stopped. Iran and Egypt together exported roughly 7 million tonnes per year in recent years.

- Date: 2025-06-20 · published 2025-06-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Middle East · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24539-israel-iran-conflict-leads-to-urea-supply-woes-global-fob-values-rally-by-25-30
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

The loss of export-oriented supply from Iran and Egypt, which mainly serve Turkey, Brazil and Europe, has driven a major price advance. Expensive nitrogen will keep pressure on fertilizer costs for grain and feed producers.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2024-10-07 | [Middle Eastern Conflict Jeopardises Global Urea Supply \| CZ app](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28190-middle-eastern-conflict-jeopardises-global-urea-supply-cz-app.md) | -0.1% | -4.4% |
| UREA | 2026-04-30 | [From surplus to strain: Iran war and El Nino threaten global rice supply - The Japan Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10153-from-surplus-to-strain-iran-war-and-el-nino-threaten-global-rice-supply-the.md) | -10.0% | -17.6% |
| UREA | 2026-03-01 | [The Middle East conflict demonstrates the fragility of global food supply \| World Economic Forum](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10398-the-middle-east-conflict-demonstrates-the-fragility-of-global-food-supply-world.md) | +25.5% | +36.4% |
| UREA | 2025-07-01 | [Global urea prices rise with Middle East conflict \| News \| farmtalknews.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24079-global-urea-prices-rise-with-middle-east-conflict-news-farmtalknews-com.md) | +10.7% | +11.9% |
| UREA | 2026-03-09 | [European nitrogen market rallies on gas price hike, Iran conflicts \| S&P Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20464-european-nitrogen-market-rallies-on-gas-price-hike-iran-conflicts-s-and-p-global.md) | +3.4% | +21.0% |

## Sources

- profercy.com: https://www.profercy.com/insights/israel-iran-conflict-leads-to-urea-supply-woes-global-fob-values-rally-by-25-30

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.