# Peru Economic Outlook. June 2025 | BBVA Research

> BBVA Research projects Peru's economy to grow 3.1% in 2025, supported by record terms of trade, improved business confidence and new copper mine construction. Growth is expected to slow to about 2.7% in 2026 amid electoral uncertainty.

- Date: 2025-06-17 · published 2025-06-17T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Peru · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24506-peru-economic-outlook-june-2025-bbva-research
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Peruvian Sol (PEN per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDPEN.md)

## Why it matters

Lower oil prices are expected, while copper and gold remain strong, supporting Peru's terms of trade and its external surplus. Expected sol weakness toward year-end could affect local feed and fishmeal import costs.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- BRENT: bearish ▼
- USDPEN: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2018-10-30 | [Oil prices fall as economic outlook deteriorates: Kemp](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9159-oil-prices-fall-as-economic-outlook-deteriorates-kemp.md) | -5.8% | -23.3% |
| WTI | 2020-03-16 | [Mexico Exchange Rate March 2020 - FocusEconomics](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54339-mexico-exchange-rate-march-2020-focuseconomics.md) | -35.6% | -29.5% |
| WTI | 2023-05-11 | [Oil falls 2% on weak US and Chinese economic data \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36104-oil-falls-2-on-weak-us-and-chinese-economic-data-reuters.md) | +0.4% | -1.7% |
| WTI | 2020-03-01 | [2020 Merchandising Outlook: Experts Share Advice in a Time of… \|…](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7993-2020-merchandising-outlook-experts-share-advice-in-a-time-of.md) | -8.1% | -61.4% |
| WTI | 2018-12-24 | [Oil plunges 6 percent as economic slowdown fears grip market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8700-oil-plunges-6-percent-as-economic-slowdown-fears-grip-market.md) | -0.5% | +15.7% |
| BRENT | 2018-10-30 | [Oil prices fall as economic outlook deteriorates: Kemp](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9159-oil-prices-fall-as-economic-outlook-deteriorates-kemp.md) | -5.8% | -22.4% |
| BRENT | 2023-05-11 | [Oil falls 2% on weak US and Chinese economic data \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36104-oil-falls-2-on-weak-us-and-chinese-economic-data-reuters.md) | +0.5% | -0.8% |
| BRENT | 2018-12-24 | [Oil plunges 6 percent as economic slowdown fears grip market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8700-oil-plunges-6-percent-as-economic-slowdown-fears-grip-market.md) | -1.3% | +15.8% |

## Sources

- bbvaresearch.com: https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/publicaciones/peru-economic-outlook-june-2025/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.