# Crude price fall to continue in 2025-26 as global production outpaces demand: US EIA

> The US EIA's June Short-Term Energy Outlook forecasts Brent averaging $66/b at end-2025 and $59/b in 2026, with WTI falling to about $55/b in 2026. The agency expects global inventories to build as OPEC+ unwinds cuts.

- Date: 2025-06-10 · published 2025-06-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24394-crude-price-fall-to-continue-in-2025-26-as-global-production-outpaces-demand-us
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md), [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast of persistent crude price declines and rising inventories points to cheaper diesel and energy inputs for feed production and transport over the next year.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- BRENT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2021-06-15 | [Growing global production limits crude oil price increases in the most recent forecast -
		U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46496-growing-global-production-limits-crude-oil-price-increases-in-the-most-recent.md) | +3.8% | +6.1% |
| WTI | 2021-03-31 | [OPEC cuts global oil demand estimates ahead of production decision](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48043-opec-cuts-global-oil-demand-estimates-ahead-of-production-decision.md) | -1.3% | +5.4% |
| WTI | 2022-11-14 | [OPEC Cuts Oil Demand Outlook as It Starts to Curb Production - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38586-opec-cuts-oil-demand-outlook-as-it-starts-to-curb-production-bloomberg.md) | -10.1% | -18.0% |
| WTI | 2024-05-01 | [Crude oil prices today: WTI falls to $79 on stockpile build, weak demand](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7236-crude-oil-prices-today-wti-falls-to-79-on-stockpile-build-weak-demand.md) | -4.3% | -3.7% |
| WTI | 2018-10-11 | [OPEC hikes oil output in September as Iran's production falls](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62459-opec-hikes-oil-output-in-september-as-iran-s-production-falls.md) | -4.8% | -15.7% |
| BRENT | 2021-06-15 | [Growing global production limits crude oil price increases in the most recent forecast -
		U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46496-growing-global-production-limits-crude-oil-price-increases-in-the-most-recent.md) | +2.9% | +4.7% |
| BRENT | 2021-03-31 | [OPEC cuts global oil demand estimates ahead of production decision](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48043-opec-cuts-global-oil-demand-estimates-ahead-of-production-decision.md) | -1.9% | +5.4% |
| BRENT | 2022-11-14 | [OPEC Cuts Oil Demand Outlook as It Starts to Curb Production - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38586-opec-cuts-oil-demand-outlook-as-it-starts-to-curb-production-bloomberg.md) | -8.2% | -20.7% |

## Sources

- spglobal.com: https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/news-research/latest-news/crude-oil/061025-crude-price-fall-to-continue-in-2025-26-as-global-production-outpaces-demand-us-eia

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.