# HSBC flags downside risks to Brent price outlook due to OPEC+ supply hikes

> HSBC expects OPEC+ to accelerate supply hikes in August and September, raising downside risks to its $65 per barrel Brent forecast for Q4 2025. The note was published in early June.

- Date: 2025-06-06 · published 2025-06-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24392-hsbc-flags-downside-risks-to-brent-price-outlook-due-to-opec-supply-hikes
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md)

## Why it matters

Faster OPEC+ output increases add supply to the crude market and point to lower energy prices ahead, reducing fuel and transport costs for feed buyers.

## Read by commodity

- BRENT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2025-02-17 | [OPEC+ is not considering delay to April oil supply hike, Novak says](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25943-opec-is-not-considering-delay-to-april-oil-supply-hike-novak-says.md) | -0.4% | -4.9% |
| BRENT | 2021-12-03 | [WTI, Brent Down 5% Week Over Week on Omicron Variant, Oversupply Risks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6305-wti-brent-down-5-week-over-week-on-omicron-variant-oversupply-risks.md) | +5.9% | +12.6% |
| BRENT | 2022-03-31 | [OPEC+ Sticks To Modest Oil Production Hike Despite Calls For More Supply](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42180-opec-sticks-to-modest-oil-production-hike-despite-calls-for-more-supply.md) | -11.9% | -6.8% |
| BRENT | 2025-12-01 | [Oil Surplus Outlook, Uncertain Geopolitics Led OPEC+ to Pause Hikes: Rystad - OPIS, A Dow Jones Company](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21427-oil-surplus-outlook-uncertain-geopolitics-led-opec-to-pause-hikes-rystad-opis-a.md) | +0.7% | -1.8% |
| BRENT | 2024-09-27 | [Oil settles higher but falls on the week on firmer supply outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28239-oil-settles-higher-but-falls-on-the-week-on-firmer-supply-outlook.md) | +7.3% | +2.8% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/hsbc-flags-downside-risks-brent-price-outlook-due-opec-supply-hikes-2025-06-06/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.