# Impact of Brazil’s May-25 HPAI Outbreak on Global Poultry Trade and Domestic Market Dynamics

> Brazil confirmed its first HPAI outbreak on a commercial poultry farm in Rio Grande do Sul on May 15, 2025, triggering export bans from China, the EU and others. Brazil's May chicken exports fell 17.6% month on month in volume and 19% in value.

- Date: 2025-06-10 · published 2025-06-10T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region Brazil · magnitude high
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24365-impact-of-brazil-s-may-25-hpai-outbreak-on-global-poultry-trade-and-domestic
- Commodities: [Chicken](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CHICKEN.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Brazil is the largest chicken exporter, so the loss of export markets creates a domestic chicken surplus that pressures poultry prices and weakens demand for other proteins, while lower chicken prices reduce feed demand.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- CHICKEN: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2021-07-22 | [Avian flu outbreak compounds plight of Ghanaian poultry industry - Global Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46085-avian-flu-outbreak-compounds-plight-of-ghanaian-poultry-industry-global-times.md) | -2.8% | -2.1% |
| CORN | 2023-05-28 | [New study looks at impacts of a US ASF outbreak across swine, poultry, beef, grains
						 \| The Poultry Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16186-new-study-looks-at-impacts-of-a-us-asf-outbreak-across-swine-poultry-beef.md) | -4.6% | -4.0% |
| CORN | 2021-03-04 | [Hog Disease Outbreak in China Triggers Surge in U.S. Prices - Caixin Global](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48271-hog-disease-outbreak-in-china-triggers-surge-in-u-s-prices-caixin-global.md) | +3.9% | +7.2% |
| CORN | 2019-05-31 | [ASF impacts on feed \| 2019-05-31  \| MEAT+POULTRY](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59078-asf-impacts-on-feed-2019-05-31-meat-poultry.md) | -2.5% | +3.0% |
| CORN | 2022-11-16 | [Why the ongoing bird flu outbreak is driving up poultry costs ahead of Thanksgiving \| PBS News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38683-why-the-ongoing-bird-flu-outbreak-is-driving-up-poultry-costs-ahead-of.md) | -2.4% | -6.3% |
| SBM | 2021-07-22 | [Avian flu outbreak compounds plight of Ghanaian poultry industry - Global Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46085-avian-flu-outbreak-compounds-plight-of-ghanaian-poultry-industry-global-times.md) | -2.9% | -2.7% |
| SBM | 2023-05-28 | [New study looks at impacts of a US ASF outbreak across swine, poultry, beef, grains
						 \| The Poultry Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/16186-new-study-looks-at-impacts-of-a-us-asf-outbreak-across-swine-poultry-beef.md) | -1.4% | +1.4% |
| SBM | 2017-02-28 | [Human avian influenza cases in China shake up global poultry markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72645-human-avian-influenza-cases-in-china-shake-up-global-poultry-markets.md) | -0.6% | -4.8% |

## Sources

- tridge.com: https://www.tridge.com/stories/impact-of-brazils-may-25-hpai-outbreak-on-global-poultry-trade-and-domestic-market

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.