# Big global wheat crop expected to pressure prices | The Western Producer

> Analysts expect world wheat stocks to rise to 271 million tonnes by end-2025/26, up from 264 million at end-2024/25. Russia's crop is forecast at 83-85 million tonnes and the EU's could exceed 138 million, against 122 million last year. Canada's spring wheat prospects have also improved after rain on the Prairies.

- Date: 2025-06-26 · published 2025-06-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24273-big-global-wheat-crop-expected-to-pressure-prices-the-western-producer
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

A larger-than-expected global crop and rising stocks are likely to limit upside in wheat prices. Lower wheat prices can also pressure feed grain values.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-28 | [Prices face pressure as larger U.S. crops expected this year \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26080-prices-face-pressure-as-larger-u-s-crops-expected-this-year-the-western-producer.md) | -3.6% | +0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-29 | [Large wheat supply pressures prices \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22436-large-wheat-supply-pressures-prices-the-western-producer.md) | -2.8% | -6.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-29 | [Germany expects larger wheat crop despite heatwave \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57529-germany-expects-larger-wheat-crop-despite-heatwave-the-western-producer.md) | -3.2% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-27 | [Wheat prices drop despite tighter ending stocks \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25627-wheat-prices-drop-despite-tighter-ending-stocks-the-western-producer.md) | -1.4% | +1.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-13 | [Wheat production expected to grow by 11% in the European Union](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24616-wheat-production-expected-to-grow-by-11-in-the-european-union.md) | -4.2% | -2.6% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-10-29 | [Large wheat supply pressures prices \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22436-large-wheat-supply-pressures-prices-the-western-producer.md) | +3.2% | -1.3% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-03-27 | [Wheat prices drop despite tighter ending stocks \| The Western Producer](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25627-wheat-prices-drop-despite-tighter-ending-stocks-the-western-producer.md) | +0.6% | -4.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-10-16 | [Global wheat production lifts \| The Land \| NSW](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68402-global-wheat-production-lifts-the-land-nsw.md) | -3.1% | -0.7% |

## Sources

- producer.com: https://www.producer.com/news/big-global-wheat-crop-expected-to-pressure-prices/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.