# Tariffs, heat, high stakes: how to navigate the grain market

> A guest article from ClimateAi discusses how grain buyers face tariffs, with most supplier countries under a 90-day 10% blanket tariff started April 9, while Canada, the largest US supplier of oats and barley, is exempt under USMCA. It also notes climate trends have reduced yields of barley, maize and wheat by 4-13% over 50 years.

- Date: 2025-06-09 · published 2025-06-09T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24268-tariffs-heat-high-stakes-how-to-navigate-the-grain-market
- Commodities: [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Tariffs and climate-driven yield losses raise procurement costs and tighten supply options for grain buyers, supporting firmer prices for affected feed grains.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- OATS: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2025-02-13 | [More ‘shrinkflation’? How Trump tariffs could reverberate through the food industry \| Grocery Dive](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26105-more-shrinkflation-how-trump-tariffs-could-reverberate-through-the-food.md) | +7.0% | +8.0% |
| OATS | 2018-11-17 | [Global trade flows dominate local cash markets — This week in the grain markets - RealAgriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11723-global-trade-flows-dominate-local-cash-markets-this-week-in-the-grain-markets.md) | -6.9% | -3.8% |
| OATS | 2017-02-20 | [Processing gives WA an edge in oat market \| The West Australian](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72560-processing-gives-wa-an-edge-in-oat-market-the-west-australian.md) | -2.8% | -2.3% |
| OATS | 2020-01-30 | [The growing demand for high-quality oats](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55133-the-growing-demand-for-high-quality-oats.md) | -1.1% | -11.1% |
| OATS | 2020-01-28 | [New oat, wheat markets debut in Iowa \| Farm Progress](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55132-new-oat-wheat-markets-debut-in-iowa-farm-progress.md) | -0.1% | -5.2% |
| CORN | 2018-06-05 | [Have we posted highs in the grain market? \| Iowa Agribusiness Radio Network](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6751-have-we-posted-highs-in-the-grain-market-iowa-agribusiness-radio-network.md) | -3.0% | -8.0% |
| CORN | 2018-07-19 | [U.S. grains: Markets set one-week highs on export hopes, weather woes - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64079-u-s-grains-markets-set-one-week-highs-on-export-hopes-weather-woes-agcanada.md) | -1.3% | -0.2% |
| CORN | 2018-04-05 | [Reinvigorated U.S. Ethanol Export Market Vaults to New Record High](https://feedsoft.ai/events/65488-reinvigorated-u-s-ethanol-export-market-vaults-to-new-record-high.md) | +1.1% | +3.0% |

## Sources

- agfundernews.com: https://agfundernews.com/guest-article-tariffs-heat-and-high-stakes-how-grain-buyers-can-stay-one-step-ahead-in-2025

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.