# Crops are Caught Between Drought, Deluge, and Diplomacy - Seed World

> Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's June 20 outlook shows over half of Canadian farmland began the season under drought, with hot, dry conditions in Alberta and Saskatchewan. Excess rain in Eastern Canada delayed planting and affected canola standability. Overall 2025-26 production is expected to slip slightly, with spring wheat stable and lentil demand hurt by Chinese tariffs.

- Date: 2025-06-23 · published 2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Canada · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24199-crops-are-caught-between-drought-deluge-and-diplomacy-seed-world
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Western drought and wet conditions in the East add supply risk for canola and wheat. Weak lentil demand from China raises carry-out stocks and adds bearish pressure.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- CANMEAL: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-08 | [Drought drops France’s maize output \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38618-drought-drops-france-s-maize-output-world-grain.md) | +0.5% | -9.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-10-30 | [Central Queensland winter crop defies eastern drought - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56536-central-queensland-winter-crop-defies-eastern-drought-grain-central.md) | -0.2% | +7.3% |
| WHEAT | 2018-01-10 | [Beginning of Year Drought Ratings vs. Yield Deviations for Major Crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66843-beginning-of-year-drought-ratings-vs-yield-deviations-for-major-crops.md) | -0.6% | +5.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-03 | [Drought and frosts put pressure on second-crop corn in the country - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13430-drought-and-frosts-put-pressure-on-second-crop-corn-in-the-country-cultivar.md) | -1.1% | +1.1% |
| WHEAT | 2020-08-19 | [Drought and Rain Are Reshaping Global Grain Trade Routes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51659-drought-and-rain-are-reshaping-global-grain-trade-routes-bloomberg.md) | +3.1% | +11.2% |

## Sources

- seedworld.com: https://www.seedworld.com/canada/2025/06/23/canadas-crops-are-caught-between-drought-deluge-and-diplomacy/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.