# ABARES releases initial forecasts for winter crops

> ABARES's quarterly Australian Crop Report forecasts wheat at 30.6Mt, barley at 12.8Mt and canola at 5.7Mt for 2025-26. Chickpea output is forecast down 17% while lentil output is forecast up 17% on a record planted area.

- Date: 2025-06-06 · published 2025-06-06T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24173-abares-releases-initial-forecasts-for-winter-crops
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Lower Australian wheat and barley forecasts reduce export supply, supporting world wheat and barley prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-02 | [ABARES releases initial forecasts for winter crops - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24166-abares-releases-initial-forecasts-for-winter-crops-grain-central.md) | +2.9% | +1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-06 | [ABARES forecasts a weaker autumn crop harvest in Australia](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24175-abares-forecasts-a-weaker-autumn-crop-harvest-in-australia.md) | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [ABARES forecasts hefty drops for wheat, barley, canola - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18770-abares-forecasts-hefty-drops-for-wheat-barley-canola-grain-central.md) | -2.6% | -0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2019-02-20 | [ABARES reports the winter crop is the lowest in over a decade  \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60578-abares-reports-the-winter-crop-is-the-lowest-in-over-a-decade-farm-online-act.md) | -3.5% | +0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2023-02-02 | [AMIS Releases Troubling Global Wheat Forecast](https://feedsoft.ai/events/37373-amis-releases-troubling-global-wheat-forecast.md) | +2.4% | -4.6% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/abares-releases-initial-forecasts-for-winter-crops/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.