# ABARES releases initial forecasts for winter crops - Grain Central

> ABARES's first 2025-26 Australian Crop Report forecasts wheat output at 30.6Mt, barley at 12.8Mt and canola at 5.7Mt. Winter crop plantings are forecast to decline marginally to 24.9Mha, though still the second-highest on record.

- Date: 2025-06-02 · published 2025-06-02T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24166-abares-releases-initial-forecasts-for-winter-crops-grain-central
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast 10% drop in Australian wheat output, from a major exporter, tightens export supplies and supports wheat and barley prices if the crop is realised.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-06-06 | [ABARES releases initial forecasts for winter crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24173-abares-releases-initial-forecasts-for-winter-crops.md) | -1.7% | -3.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-06-01 | [ABARES forecasts hefty drops for wheat, barley, canola - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18770-abares-forecasts-hefty-drops-for-wheat-barley-canola-grain-central.md) | -2.6% | -0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2019-12-03 | [Winter crop slips below 30Mt: ABARES - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55530-winter-crop-slips-below-30mt-abares-grain-central.md) | -4.1% | -1.4% |
| WHEAT | 2018-09-11 | [ABARES cuts winter-crop estimate by 12pc in latest crop report - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62981-abares-cuts-winter-crop-estimate-by-12pc-in-latest-crop-report-grain-central.md) | -7.4% | -7.0% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-31 | [Winter crop inputs, area, rise: Rabobank - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35905-winter-crop-inputs-area-rise-rabobank-grain-central.md) | -3.2% | +9.0% |

## Sources

- graincentral.com: https://www.graincentral.com/news/abares-releases-initial-forecasts-for-winter-crops/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.