# Positive yield expectations for EU winter cereals - Joint Research Centre

> The EU's JRC MARS bulletin says winter crops remain generally resilient with good EU yield prospects and exceptionally high expectations in Spain, Portugal, Romania, Bulgaria, Greece and the Baltics. Drought in parts of western and central Europe is weighing on spring and summer crops, while eastern Ukraine and Türkiye have seen significant winter crop losses.

- Date: 2025-06-23 · published 2025-06-23T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24137-positive-yield-expectations-for-eu-winter-cereals-joint-research-centre
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Strong EU winter cereal yields add to export supply and tend to pressure wheat and barley prices, while drought in northern and central Europe limits upside for spring crops and feed grains.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-12-16 | [Dry autumn overall favourable for winter cereals - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26896-dry-autumn-overall-favourable-for-winter-cereals-joint-research-centre.md) | -0.2% | -0.0% |
| WHEAT | 2024-04-22 | [Warm spring weather benefitted crops in most of Europe - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/30694-warm-spring-weather-benefitted-crops-in-most-of-europe-joint-research-centre.md) | +0.4% | +1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2020-11-24 | [Improved situation for EU winter cereal crops: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50097-improved-situation-for-eu-winter-cereal-crops-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -1.0% | +8.3% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-25 | [Winter crop 2024-25 harvest expectations from state growing regions - Australasian Farmers' & Dealers' Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29195-winter-crop-2024-25-harvest-expectations-from-state-growing-regions.md) | -5.3% | -7.0% |
| WHEAT | 2026-02-16 | [France reports best winter grain conditions in three years](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20524-france-reports-best-winter-grain-conditions-in-three-years.md) | +2.1% | +6.2% |
| CORN | 2025-05-26 | [Fair EU yield expectations despite drought concerns - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24612-fair-eu-yield-expectations-despite-drought-concerns-joint-research-centre.md) | -2.0% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2026-03-23 | [Crops exit from winter dormancy in favourable conditions - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20108-crops-exit-from-winter-dormancy-in-favourable-conditions-joint-research-centre.md) | -0.3% | -1.8% |
| CORN | 2026-04-27 | [Favourable crop conditions across Europe - Joint Research Centre](https://feedsoft.ai/events/19659-favourable-crop-conditions-across-europe-joint-research-centre.md) | +1.7% | +2.4% |

## Sources

- joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu: https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/positive-yield-expectations-eu-winter-cereals-2025-06-23_en

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.