# Five tips for making the most of El Niño and La Niña forecasts | CRUCIAL

> CRUCIAL, summarizing WTW research by Pedro Di Nezio, offers five tips for using El Niño and La Niña forecasts. The tips include waiting until May before trusting El Niño forecasts and noting that back-to-back La Niña events are common.

- Date: 2025-06-19 · published 2025-06-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24122-five-tips-for-making-the-most-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-forecasts-crucial
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

This is general forecasting guidance with no new supply event, so it has little direct price impact on feed commodities.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2020-10-23 | [The Rise of El Niño and La Niña \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50568-the-rise-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-noaa-climate-gov.md) | +0.8% | +10.6% |
| CORN | 2020-04-02 | [Long Range Corner: El Niño or La Niña for the Summer?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53556-long-range-corner-el-nino-or-la-nina-for-the-summer.md) | -1.1% | -8.6% |
| CORN | 2021-08-24 | [CPC Increases the Odds of La Niña Development and Issues Official Fall Forecast \| CropWatch \| Nebraska](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45486-cpc-increases-the-odds-of-la-nina-development-and-issues-official-fall-forecast.md) | -0.4% | -10.1% |
| CORN | 2017-08-14 | [What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? \| The Weather Channel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69375-what-does-lack-of-el-nino-la-nina-mean-for-winter-the-weather-channel.md) | -2.0% | -4.4% |
| CORN | 2021-04-23 | [Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time \| US CLIVAR](https://feedsoft.ai/events/47528-predicting-the-duration-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-events-with-multiyear-lead-time.md) | +10.5% | +8.1% |
| SOY | 2020-10-23 | [The Rise of El Niño and La Niña \| NOAA Climate.gov](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50568-the-rise-of-el-nino-and-la-nina-noaa-climate-gov.md) | -2.0% | +9.7% |
| SOY | 2020-04-02 | [Long Range Corner: El Niño or La Niña for the Summer?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/53556-long-range-corner-el-nino-or-la-nina-for-the-summer.md) | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| SOY | 2021-08-24 | [CPC Increases the Odds of La Niña Development and Issues Official Fall Forecast \| CropWatch \| Nebraska](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45486-cpc-increases-the-odds-of-la-nina-development-and-issues-official-fall-forecast.md) | +0.8% | -1.5% |

## Sources

- crucialab.net: https://www.crucialab.net/post/five-tips/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.