# Outlook for crops | Agricultural Commodities

> An Australian outlook forecasts the value of Australian crop production to fall 4% to A$50.7 billion in 2025-26 as output declines under expected drier conditions. It also expects crop export value and volume to fall but remain above the 10-year average, with world crop prices rising on tight global supply.

- Date: 2025-06-01 · published 2025-06-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24121-outlook-for-crops-agricultural-commodities
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Australian crop and tight global supplies point to firmer wheat and barley prices, supporting feed grain costs for importers.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2017-06-09 | [2017 Summer U.S. Agricultural Outlook](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70413-2017-summer-u-s-agricultural-outlook.md) | -1.0% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-08 | [El Niño raises risks for agricultural commodities in the 4th quarter - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17054-el-nino-raises-risks-for-agricultural-commodities-in-the-4th-quarter-revista.md) | +3.7% | +3.8% |
| WHEAT | 2021-06-14 | [Canadian Drought Outlook - agriculture.canada.ca](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46481-canadian-drought-outlook-agriculture-canada-ca.md) | +5.8% | -5.4% |
| WHEAT | 2020-10-13 | [Wheat Outlook: Season crop report for October  - Queensland Alliance for 
Agriculture and Food Innovation - University of Queensland](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50569-wheat-outlook-season-crop-report-for-october-queensland-alliance-for.md) | +1.8% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-05-05 | [Short-term - Agriculture and rural development - European Commission](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41337-short-term-agriculture-and-rural-development-european-commission.md) | -0.2% | +0.3% |

## Sources

- search.informit.org: https://search.informit.org/doi/10.3316/informit.T2025060300016590644267221

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.