# Seasonal conditions | Agricultural Commodities

> An Australian ABARES-style commodities outlook projects global crop production in 2024-25 above 2023-24 levels. It expects near-average June-August rainfall to boost 2025-26 output in major grain regions, while dry soils in South Australia, western Victoria and parts of NSW and WA weigh on winter crop sowing.

- Date: 2025-06-01 · published 2025-06-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24119-seasonal-conditions-agricultural-commodities
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Expected above-average global output and dry patches in Australian winter crops give mixed signals, leaving wheat and barley supply prospects broadly balanced with limited price impact.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: neutral
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2021-03-07 | [FAO Food Price Index Climbs, While Some See Continued Strong Chinese Demand for Agricultural Commodities \| Farm Policy News \| Illinois](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8637-fao-food-price-index-climbs-while-some-see-continued-strong-chinese-demand-for.md) | -2.8% | -2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-02 | [Agricultural potential of the Black Sea region: New opportunities and challenges of the 2025/26](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14210-agricultural-potential-of-the-black-sea-region-new-opportunities-and-challenges.md) | +2.1% | -3.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-08-24 | [Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13631-conab-analyzes-conditions-of-second-and-third-harvest-crops-revista-cultivar.md) | -4.9% | -2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2026-02-24 | [Commodities Overview February 2026 Edition - ADM Investor Services](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20621-commodities-overview-february-2026-edition-adm-investor-services.md) | +0.6% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-11-14 | [1380. Trends in Export Restrictions on Major Crops \| Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences \| JIRCAS](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21917-1380-trends-in-export-restrictions-on-major-crops-japan-international-research.md) | +1.4% | +1.0% |

## Sources

- search.informit.org: https://search.informit.org/doi/10.3316/informit.T2025060300016300476188350

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.