# US CPC sees 82% chance of ENSO neutral conditions through June-August — TradingView News

> The US Climate Prediction Center sees an 82% chance of ENSO-neutral conditions through June-August 2025. It puts neutral at 48% and La Niña at 41% for November-January.

- Date: 2025-06-12 · published 2025-06-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/24118-us-cpc-sees-82-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

Neutral ENSO generally means stable weather and better yields, reducing weather risk premium in corn and soybeans, though a shift toward La Niña later could raise drought risk for South American and US crops.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2025-05-08 | [US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24587-us-cpc-sees-74-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august-reuters.md) | -0.6% | +1.5% |
| CORN | 2019-05-09 | [ENSO WILL TOE THE LINE BETWEEN EL NIÑO AND NEUTRAL CONDITIONS DURING JUNE-AUGUST](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59009-enso-will-toe-the-line-between-el-nino-and-neutral-conditions-during-june-august.md) | +2.3% | +9.3% |
| CORN | 2025-04-01 | [March 2025 ENSO update: neutral conditions expected soon](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25496-march-2025-enso-update-neutral-conditions-expected-soon.md) | +1.0% | +2.2% |
| CORN | 2022-04-15 | [Corn Belt sees little change in drought conditions week over week](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13372-corn-belt-sees-little-change-in-drought-conditions-week-over-week.md) | +2.1% | -0.0% |
| CORN | 2026-02-12 | [US forecaster sees signs of La Nina shift towards El Nino conditions in early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20517-us-forecaster-sees-signs-of-la-nina-shift-towards-el-nino-conditions-in-early.md) | -0.0% | +3.5% |
| SOY | 2025-05-08 | [US CPC sees 74% chance of ENSO Neutral conditions through June-August \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24587-us-cpc-sees-74-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august-reuters.md) | +3.5% | +2.1% |
| SOY | 2025-04-01 | [March 2025 ENSO update: neutral conditions expected soon](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25496-march-2025-enso-update-neutral-conditions-expected-soon.md) | -3.1% | +2.6% |
| SOY | 2026-02-12 | [US forecaster sees signs of La Nina shift towards El Nino conditions in early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20517-us-forecaster-sees-signs-of-la-nina-shift-towards-el-nino-conditions-in-early.md) | +1.5% | +7.9% |

## Sources

- tradingview.com: https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2025:newsml_L1N3SF0HJ:0-us-cpc-sees-82-chance-of-enso-neutral-conditions-through-june-august/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.