# Price Flip May Be Needed to Avert Emerging Oil Glut | Energy Intelligence

> Energy Intelligence projects a global crude surplus of about 500,000 barrels per day through October, rising to 1.9 million b/d in 2026 as OPEC+ and non-OPEC+ supply grow. The forward Brent curve has moved into contango, and that structure is starting to erode.

- Date: 2025-07-24 · published 2025-07-24T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23927-price-flip-may-be-needed-to-avert-emerging-oil-glut-energy-intelligence
- Commodities: [Crude Oil (Brent)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BRENT.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

A sizable 2026 glut would pressure crude and energy-linked costs lower over time. The erosion of contango signals markets are beginning to price in oversupply.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- BRENT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BRENT | 2020-03-27 | [Oil price crash: a glimpse into the future for global energy markets? Q&A with Pierre Noel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7880-oil-price-crash-a-glimpse-into-the-future-for-global-energy-markets-q-and-a.md) | -1.2% | -25.9% |
| BRENT | 2021-08-19 | [Falling oil prices increase pressure on oilseed markets](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11363-falling-oil-prices-increase-pressure-on-oilseed-markets.md) | +5.5% | +9.8% |
| BRENT | 2026-06-24 | [Oil curve points to near-term glut as Hormuz flows rise \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18985-oil-curve-points-to-near-term-glut-as-hormuz-flows-rise-reuters.md) | -6.2% | +21.0% |
| BRENT | 2018-06-17 | [The Fed Is Driving Down Oil Prices \| OilPrice.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64443-the-fed-is-driving-down-oil-prices-oilprice-com.md) | +2.6% | +2.7% |
| BRENT | 2020-04-21 | [Brent oil futures plunge as growing glut feeds market panic](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4477-brent-oil-futures-plunge-as-growing-glut-feeds-market-panic.md) | -17.3% | +61.6% |
| WTI | 2020-03-27 | [Oil price crash: a glimpse into the future for global energy markets? Q&A with Pierre Noel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7880-oil-price-crash-a-glimpse-into-the-future-for-global-energy-markets-q-and-a.md) | +37.1% | -32.8% |
| WTI | 2019-06-05 | [The Fed is ready to cut rates as needed - Mansfield Energy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/10751-the-fed-is-ready-to-cut-rates-as-needed-mansfield-energy.md) | -0.4% | +4.8% |
| WTI | 2025-04-30 | [Diesel Under Fire From Trump's Trade War \| Energy Intelligence](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25303-diesel-under-fire-from-trump-s-trade-war-energy-intelligence.md) | -2.3% | +1.5% |

## Sources

- energyintel.com: https://www.energyintel.com/00000198-3874-db4e-a9bd-bdff07380000

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.