# US cattle futures rise on record-low herd, tight supply - CME
						 | The Beef Site

> CME cattle futures rose Friday after USDA reported the July 1 herd at 94.2 million head, a record low, and feedlot cattle 2% below last year versus expectations of 0.8%. Trump's comments about beef sales to Australia drew skepticism, while a Mexican cattle import ban and Brazilian beef tariffs due August 1 are seen tightening US supplies.

- Date: 2025-07-28 · published 2025-07-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23895-us-cattle-futures-rise-on-record-low-herd-tight-supply-cme-the-beef-site
- Commodities: [Feeder Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/FCATTLE.md), [Live Cattle](https://feedsoft.ai/c/LCATTLE.md)

## Why it matters

A record-low herd and tighter import access support cattle prices and reduce feedlot supply, while the Australian beef comments were viewed as unlikely to change the balance.

## Read by commodity

- FCATTLE: bullish ▲
- LCATTLE: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FCATTLE | 2025-09-29 | [US hog futures hit records on tighter herd supplies - CME
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23028-us-hog-futures-hit-records-on-tighter-herd-supplies-cme-the-pig-site.md) | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| FCATTLE | 2025-08-13 | [Beef futures climb on tight supply, USDA output cuts - CME
						 \| The Beef Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23464-beef-futures-climb-on-tight-supply-usda-output-cuts-cme-the-beef-site.md) | +1.5% | +2.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2021-01-22 | [CME update: live cattle futures surge ahead of USDA Cattle on Feed report
						 \| The Beef Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49286-cme-update-live-cattle-futures-surge-ahead-of-usda-cattle-on-feed-report-the.md) | -0.1% | +2.4% |
| FCATTLE | 2023-11-20 | [Cattle futures rise on lower-than-expected placements - CME
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7974-cattle-futures-rise-on-lower-than-expected-placements-cme-the-cattle-site.md) | -6.9% | -2.3% |
| FCATTLE | 2022-02-22 | [US beef cow herd declines
						 \| The Cattle Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42850-us-beef-cow-herd-declines-the-cattle-site.md) | -4.7% | -5.6% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-09-29 | [US hog futures hit records on tighter herd supplies - CME
						 \| The Pig Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23028-us-hog-futures-hit-records-on-tighter-herd-supplies-cme-the-pig-site.md) | -1.2% | +0.9% |
| LCATTLE | 2025-08-13 | [Beef futures climb on tight supply, USDA output cuts - CME
						 \| The Beef Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23464-beef-futures-climb-on-tight-supply-usda-output-cuts-cme-the-beef-site.md) | +0.1% | -1.1% |
| LCATTLE | 2021-01-22 | [CME update: live cattle futures surge ahead of USDA Cattle on Feed report
						 \| The Beef Site](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49286-cme-update-live-cattle-futures-surge-ahead-of-usda-cattle-on-feed-report-the.md) | +0.7% | +2.4% |

## Sources

- thebeefsite.com: https://www.thebeefsite.com/news/us-cattle-futures-rise-on-record-low-herd-tight-supply-cme
- thecattlesite.com: https://www.thecattlesite.com/news/us-cattle-futures-rise-on-record-low-herd-tight-supply-cme

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.