# Indonesia palm oil exports to US may fall due to tariffs, industry group says

> GAPKI said Indonesian palm oil exports to the US could fall 15%-20% if a threatened 32% US tariff on Indonesian goods is implemented. US shipments averaged 2.25 million tonnes per year over the past three years.

- Date: 2025-08-01 · published 2025-08-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region Indonesia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23854-indonesia-palm-oil-exports-to-us-may-fall-due-to-tariffs-industry-group-says
- Commodities: [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md), [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md)

## Why it matters

A tariff-driven drop in US-bound shipments would redirect Indonesian palm supply to other buyers, adding pressure to global palm prices and to competing soyoil. The threat remains unconfirmed, so the impact is uncertain.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- PALMOIL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| PALMOIL | 2026-07-01 | [Malaysian Palm Oil Exports to Face Pressure From Indonesian Push](https://feedsoft.ai/events/18906-malaysian-palm-oil-exports-to-face-pressure-from-indonesian-push.md) | +0.6% | +0.4% |
| PALMOIL | 2022-07-20 | [Indonesia’s palm oil exports set to soar 60% in price blow \| FMT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40582-indonesia-s-palm-oil-exports-set-to-soar-60-in-price-blow-fmt.md) | -0.4% | +3.9% |
| PALMOIL | 2022-06-01 | [Palm oil eases as Indonesia gears up to resume exports - Markets - Business Recorder](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41053-palm-oil-eases-as-indonesia-gears-up-to-resume-exports-markets-business-recorder.md) | +0.7% | -13.0% |
| PALMOIL | 2020-04-01 | [Indonesian palm oil exports to China drop by half in January: GAPKI](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54238-indonesian-palm-oil-exports-to-china-drop-by-half-in-january-gapki.md) | -3.5% | -7.7% |
| PALMOIL | 2022-07-26 | [Palm oil prices to fall more due to distress selling by Indonesia - Markets - The Jakarta Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40585-palm-oil-prices-to-fall-more-due-to-distress-selling-by-indonesia-markets-the.md) | +4.3% | +4.6% |
| SBO | 2017-08-25 | [Indonesia faces more barriers in palm oil exports  - Xinhua Silk Road](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69461-indonesia-faces-more-barriers-in-palm-oil-exports-xinhua-silk-road.md) | -0.2% | -2.3% |
| SBO | 2020-03-05 | [Desire for detente not enough to reignite Malaysian palm oil exports to India \| Malay Mail](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54235-desire-for-detente-not-enough-to-reignite-malaysian-palm-oil-exports-to-india.md) | -7.3% | -11.5% |
| SBO | 2025-04-07 | [US tariffs to impact palm oil demand and prices, says CIMB Securities](https://feedsoft.ai/events/9627-us-tariffs-to-impact-palm-oil-demand-and-prices-says-cimb-securities.md) | +2.0% | +5.6% |

## Sources

- reuters.com: https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/indonesia-palm-oil-group-says-palm-oil-exports-us-may-fall-due-tariffs-2025-07-08/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.