# Western Australia’s Wheat Decline Presents Golden Opportunities in Barley and Canola

> ABARES forecasts Western Australia's 2025/26 wheat output to fall about 13% because of hot autumns, dry soils and erratic rain. Barley plantings rose 5.6% to 1.9 million hectares, and canola plantings rose 6.3%, although northern canola sowings were cut by more than half.

- Date: 2025-07-14 · published 2025-07-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23722-western-australia-s-wheat-decline-presents-golden-opportunities-in-barley-and
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Western Australian wheat crop tightens wheat supply, while a larger barley area adds feed grain supply, so wheat and barley price effects partly offset each other.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral
- CANMEAL: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-28 | [Australia forecasts 34% decline in wheat production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35012-australia-forecasts-34-decline-in-wheat-production.md) | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2022-07-28 | [How big will Western Australia's wheat crop be? - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40444-how-big-will-western-australia-s-wheat-crop-be-grain-price-news.md) | +4.6% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2022-07-28 | [Dryness-tested Western Australia wheat crop in 'precarious position' - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40441-dryness-tested-western-australia-wheat-crop-in-precarious-position-grain-price.md) | +4.6% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2023-07-28 | [Australia Wheat Crop Headed for Double-Digit Decline, Gro Model Predicts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35014-australia-wheat-crop-headed-for-double-digit-decline-gro-model-predicts.md) | -0.1% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2023-06-05 | [Australia sees wheat, barley output dropping by a third next year](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35408-australia-sees-wheat-barley-output-dropping-by-a-third-next-year.md) | -3.9% | +6.8% |

## Sources

- ukragroconsult.com: https://ukragroconsult.com/en/news/western-australias-wheat-decline-presents-golden-opportunities-in-barley-and-canola/

---
Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.