# Dryness reduces Australian wheat output says USDA attaché - Grainews

> The USDA attaché in Canberra projected Australia's 2025/26 wheat output at 31 million tonnes, down from 34.11 million in 2024/25, due to low soil moisture and below-average autumn rain in the southern states. Harvested area is seen falling to 12.5 million hectares and yields to 2.48 tonnes per hectare, with ending stocks reduced to 4.38 million tonnes.

- Date: 2025-07-28 · published 2025-07-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23718-dryness-reduces-australian-wheat-output-says-usda-attache-grainews
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A smaller Australian wheat crop and tighter ending stocks reduce export supply available to world buyers, which supports global wheat prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bullish ▲
- BARLEY: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-01 | [Australian wheat output projected to decline \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35902-australian-wheat-output-projected-to-decline-world-grain.md) | +1.9% | -2.2% |
| WHEAT | 2018-06-12 | [U.S. grains: Wheat surges after USDA cuts Russian output estimate - Grainews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/64555-u-s-grains-wheat-surges-after-usda-cuts-russian-output-estimate-grainews.md) | -0.9% | -6.9% |
| WHEAT | 2023-05-15 | [USDA sees 26pc drop in Australia's new-crop wheat - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35906-usda-sees-26pc-drop-in-australia-s-new-crop-wheat-grain-central.md) | -1.6% | -7.1% |
| WHEAT | 2020-02-18 | [Australia wheat output revised lower \| 2020-02-18  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54572-australia-wheat-output-revised-lower-2020-02-18-world-grain.md) | -0.9% | -0.1% |
| WHEAT | 2018-08-13 | [Australian wheat at unexpectedly high 22Mt: USDA - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63499-australian-wheat-at-unexpectedly-high-22mt-usda-grain-central.md) | -1.8% | +3.1% |

## Sources

- grainews.ca: https://www.grainews.ca/daily/dryness-reduces-australian-wheat-output-says-usda-attache/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.