# Crop yield forecasts across Europe in July 2025

> The JRC MARS bulletin for July 2025 forecasts above-average winter crop yields in Romania, Bulgaria, France, Spain, Ireland and the Nordic and Baltic countries. Yields around average are expected in Germany, Poland and Hungary, while Italy and Türkiye face reductions from heat and water stress. Summer crops in south-eastern Europe face yield losses from persistent rain deficits and high temperatures.

- Date: 2025-07-21 · published 2025-07-21T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region EU · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23684-crop-yield-forecasts-across-europe-in-july-2025
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

Improved European winter crop yields add supply to the EU grain balance and weigh on feed wheat and barley prices, while heat stress in southeastern summer crops, notably corn in Hungary and Romania, supports some feed grain demand for imports.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bearish ▼
- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2016-11-22 | [Mallee yields support bumper forecasts \| VIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73817-mallee-yields-support-bumper-forecasts-vic.md) | -2.8% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2017-03-08 | [Record crop production forecast: ABARES](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71943-record-crop-production-forecast-abares.md) | -0.6% | +0.2% |
| WHEAT | 2020-03-18 | [Australian wheat crop forecast at 21.4-27.9Mt as seeding starts - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54098-australian-wheat-crop-forecast-at-21-4-27-9mt-as-seeding-starts-grain-central.md) | -5.7% | -1.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-06-06 | [East coast wet won't downgrade winter crop yield prospects says ABARES  \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40888-east-coast-wet-won-t-downgrade-winter-crop-yield-prospects-says-abares-farm.md) | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-12-22 | [How long will La Nina extend into 2023? Latest official forecasts - Grain Price News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38151-how-long-will-la-nina-extend-into-2023-latest-official-forecasts-grain-price.md) | +0.1% | -3.6% |
| CORN | 2025-09-17 | [2025 Corn Yield Forecasts: Cooler Weather at Season’s End Increased Forecasted Yields for Region \| CropWatch \| Nebraska](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13058-2025-corn-yield-forecasts-cooler-weather-at-season-s-end-increased-forecasted.md) | -0.9% | -3.5% |
| CORN | 2020-10-01 | [Exclusive - Field Forecast: High Yields](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50497-exclusive-field-forecast-high-yields.md) | -0.3% | +6.4% |
| CORN | 2018-08-10 | [July Temps Favored Yield Prospect](https://feedsoft.ai/events/63395-july-temps-favored-yield-prospect.md) | -7.5% | -9.1% |

## Sources

- joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu: https://joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-news-and-updates/hot-start-summer-challenges-summer-crops-2025-07-21_en

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.