# Urea export backlog sets stage for Sep price rally amid quota deadline   | Mysteel

> China's urea exports have built a backlog of 2.56 million tonnes against export quotas, with shipments expected to accelerate in September ahead of the October 15 export declaration deadline. Customs data show urea exports were only 636,200 tonnes so far in the period.

- Date: 2025-08-20 · published 2025-08-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: trade · region China · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23640-urea-export-backlog-sets-stage-for-sep-price-rally-amid-quota-deadline-mysteel
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md)

## Why it matters

The export backlog and quota deadline point to heavier Chinese urea shipments in September, which could support global urea prices.

## Read by commodity

- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2021-11-11 | [S.Korea rations urea amid shortage, drivers panic buy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44344-s-korea-rations-urea-amid-shortage-drivers-panic-buy.md) | -1.3% | -1.8% |
| UREA | 2022-05-06 | [Urea price declines slow ahead of major RCF purchasing inquiry](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8654-urea-price-declines-slow-ahead-of-major-rcf-purchasing-inquiry.md) | +0.4% | -17.1% |
| UREA | 2026-02-25 | [Understanding the surge in urea prices for Aussie farmers \| Farm Online \| ACT](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20926-understanding-the-surge-in-urea-prices-for-aussie-farmers-farm-online-act.md) | +28.3% | +35.4% |
| UREA | 2025-02-25 | [Vietnam increases fertiliser exports amid rising global prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25959-vietnam-increases-fertiliser-exports-amid-rising-global-prices.md) | -0.9% | -4.5% |
| UREA | 2021-10-05 | [Farmers face fertiliser shortages, higher prices after China export ban \| VIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5913-farmers-face-fertiliser-shortages-higher-prices-after-china-export-ban-vic.md) | +6.2% | +11.5% |

## Sources

- mysteel.net: https://www.mysteel.net/news/5095956-urea-export-backlog-sets-stage-for-sep-price-rally-amid-quota-deadline-

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.