# World Bank Projects Higher Fertilizer Prices Into 2026 -

> The World Bank reports its fertilizer index rose 15% in the second quarter of 2025 since January, with TSP up 43% and DAP up 23%. It projects prices to climb about 7% this year before stabilizing in 2026, and China's nitrogen export cuts and EU tariffs on Russian and Belarusian fertilizer are reshaping trade flows.

- Date: 2025-08-20 · published 2025-08-20T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23634-world-bank-projects-higher-fertilizer-prices-into-2026
- Commodities: [TSP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/TSP.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md), [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [Potash (KCl)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/POTASH.md)

## Why it matters

A World Bank outlook of continued fertilizer price increases raises input costs for livestock and grain producers and supports phosphate and urea values, which can squeeze farm margins and feed-cost planning.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- TSP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲
- POTASH: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DAP | 2026-06-23 | [World Bank warns fertilizer prices could surge more than 30% in 2026 if Hormuz disruption persists — Fertilizer Daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6819-world-bank-warns-fertilizer-prices-could-surge-more-than-30-in-2026-if-hormuz.md) | -4.2% | -0.6% |
| DAP | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| DAP | 2025-11-05 | [Global fertilizer prices to surge by 21% in 2025, World Bank warns \| AgriTech Middle East & Africa - Trends in I ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6231-global-fertilizer-prices-to-surge-by-21-in-2025-world-bank-warns-agritech.md) | +0.2% | -11.9% |
| DAP | 2021-06-08 | [Fertilizer prices expected to stay high over the remainder of 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/11017-fertilizer-prices-expected-to-stay-high-over-the-remainder-of-2021.md) | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| DAP | 2021-03-17 | [UAN28 Leads Fertilizer Prices Higher as Nitrogen Prices Spike](https://feedsoft.ai/events/48434-uan28-leads-fertilizer-prices-higher-as-nitrogen-prices-spike.md) | +0.7% | +2.1% |
| UREA | 2025-05-14 | [Global fertilizer prices climb 11% in early 2025: World Bank  ...](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25007-global-fertilizer-prices-climb-11-in-early-2025-world-bank.md) | -2.9% | -25.4% |
| UREA | 2026-10-28 | [WORLD BANK SAYS FERTILIZER PRICES SET TO RISE 14% IN 2026 DUE TO SURGE IN UREA PRICES, RETURNING TO 2025 LEVELS IN 2027 - CGTN](https://feedsoft.ai/events/297-world-bank-says-fertilizer-prices-set-to-rise-14-in-2026-due-to-surge-in-urea.md) | -1.3% | — |
| UREA | 2020-12-23 | [Fertilizer prices to rise moderately in 2021](https://feedsoft.ai/events/49583-fertilizer-prices-to-rise-moderately-in-2021.md) | +3.0% | +21.5% |

## Sources

- allagnews.com: https://www.allagnews.com/world-bank-projects-higher-fertilizer-prices-into-2026/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.