# Gulf fertiliser prices have shot up, but the growth spurt is set to end | AGBI

> AGBI reports Middle Eastern fertiliser prices have risen sharply in 2025, with urea up over 40% and Saudi DAP up over 30%. The increase reflects Indian demand, reduced Chinese supply, a 60% rise in sulphur prices, and supply losses from the June Iran-Israel conflict.

- Date: 2025-08-27 · published 2025-08-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: geopolitics · region Middle East · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23629-gulf-fertiliser-prices-have-shot-up-but-the-growth-spurt-is-set-to-end-agbi
- Commodities: [Urea](https://feedsoft.ai/c/UREA.md), [DAP](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DAP.md)

## Why it matters

Higher urea and DAP costs raise farm input expenses and can squeeze crop margins. Analysts expect the rally to slow, which may cap further gains.

## Read by commodity

- DAP: bullish ▲
- UREA: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| UREA | 2020-06-06 | [From the Persian Gulf to the granaries of Lithuania: the war in Iran threatens a price shock for food and fertiliser - Agrobitė](https://feedsoft.ai/events/52545-from-the-persian-gulf-to-the-granaries-of-lithuania-the-war-in-iran-threatens-a.md) | +1.3% | +7.1% |
| UREA | 2026-03-24 | [Global fertilizer prices have reached record levels, but what to expect next?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20479-global-fertilizer-prices-have-reached-record-levels-but-what-to-expect-next.md) | +2.0% | +11.4% |
| UREA | 2026-03-05 | [How the Iran war could create a ‘fertiliser shock’ – an often ignored global risk to food prices and farming](https://feedsoft.ai/events/6255-how-the-iran-war-could-create-a-fertiliser-shock-an-often-ignored-global-risk.md) | +3.0% | +20.1% |
| UREA | 2022-05-31 | [Why fertiliser prices are soaring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41723-why-fertiliser-prices-are-soaring.md) | -8.8% | -13.2% |
| UREA | 2026-09-01 | [Why higher fertilizer prices are here to stay](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17863-why-higher-fertilizer-prices-are-here-to-stay.md) | +1.7% | +3.9% |
| DAP | 2026-03-24 | [Global fertilizer prices have reached record levels, but what to expect next?](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20479-global-fertilizer-prices-have-reached-record-levels-but-what-to-expect-next.md) | +5.5% | +10.4% |
| DAP | 2022-05-31 | [Why fertiliser prices are soaring](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41723-why-fertiliser-prices-are-soaring.md) | -4.4% | -0.9% |
| DAP | 2026-09-01 | [Why higher fertilizer prices are here to stay](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17863-why-higher-fertilizer-prices-are-here-to-stay.md) | +0.3% | +1.6% |

## Sources

- agbi.com: https://www.agbi.com/analysis/industry/2025/08/fertiliser-prices-have-shot-up-but-growth-spurt-set-to-end-soon/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.