# EUR/USD ticks up to near 1.1650, French risks might cap upside

> EUR/USD edged up to near 1.1650 as the dollar faced selling pressure after dovish remarks from Fed's Williams. Markets priced an 87% chance of a September Fed cut, while opposition parties are unlikely to back Bayrou's confidence vote.

- Date: 2025-08-28 · published 2025-08-28T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Eurozone · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23536-eur-usd-ticks-up-to-near-1-1650-french-risks-might-cap-upside
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

Expectations of Fed easing and a weaker dollar support dollar-priced commodities, while French political risk caps euro gains. The net effect on grain and feed prices is modest.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- EURUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2020-08-31 | [EUR/USD: The broad trend is to the upside — Octa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51829-eur-usd-the-broad-trend-is-to-the-upside-octa.md) | -0.7% | -2.0% |
| EURUSD | 2020-11-26 | [Euro rises to near 3-month high as US dollar falls - The Business Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50370-euro-rises-to-near-3-month-high-as-us-dollar-falls-the-business-times.md) | +2.0% | +2.9% |
| EURUSD | 2020-02-28 | [EUR/USD: Central banks to favor the euro - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54804-eur-usd-central-banks-to-favor-the-euro-forex-crunch.md) | +2.0% | +0.4% |
| EURUSD | 2024-02-26 | [EUR/USD climbs to fresh daily top around, mid-1.0800s amid modest USD selling](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31881-eur-usd-climbs-to-fresh-daily-top-around-mid-1-0800s-amid-modest-usd-selling.md) | +0.0% | -0.1% |
| EURUSD | 2023-04-27 | [Euro near one-year peak as US economic risks weigh on dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36622-euro-near-one-year-peak-as-us-economic-risks-weigh-on-dollar.md) | -0.0% | -2.7% |
| DXY | 2020-08-31 | [EUR/USD: The broad trend is to the upside — Octa](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51829-eur-usd-the-broad-trend-is-to-the-upside-octa.md) | +0.1% | +1.4% |
| DXY | 2020-11-26 | [Euro rises to near 3-month high as US dollar falls - The Business Times](https://feedsoft.ai/events/50370-euro-rises-to-near-3-month-high-as-us-dollar-falls-the-business-times.md) | -1.2% | -1.5% |
| DXY | 2020-02-28 | [EUR/USD: Central banks to favor the euro - Forex Crunch](https://feedsoft.ai/events/54804-eur-usd-central-banks-to-favor-the-euro-forex-crunch.md) | -0.5% | +4.3% |

## Sources

- fxstreet.com: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-usd-ticks-up-to-near-11650-french-risks-might-cap-upside-202508280411

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.