# U.S. Pork Outlook: PRRS Challenges, Tighter Supplies, and Rising Prices - Swineweb.com - Complete Swine News, Markets, Commentary, and Technical Info

> The USDA's August Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook shows July hog slaughter about 4% lower than last year, linked to unusually high PRRS outbreaks in the second quarter. USDA cut its 2025 pork production forecast by 1% to 27.7 billion pounds.

- Date: 2025-08-26 · published 2025-08-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: disease · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23474-u-s-pork-outlook-prrs-challenges-tighter-supplies-and-rising-prices-swineweb
- Commodities: [Lean Hogs](https://feedsoft.ai/c/HOGS.md), [Soybean Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBM.md)

## Why it matters

Disease-driven supply losses tighten pork output and support hog prices, which reduces near-term pork supply and can affect feed demand from hog producers.

## Read by commodity

- SBM: neutral
- HOGS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| HOGS | 2026-08-14 | [Hungary and Philippines Confirm New African Swine Fever Outbreaks in Domestic and Backyard Herds - Swineweb.com - Complete Swine News, Markets, Commentary, and Technical Info](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15889-hungary-and-philippines-confirm-new-african-swine-fever-outbreaks-in-domestic.md) | -9.9% | -11.5% |
| HOGS | 2025-09-15 | [ASF Hits 27,000-Pig Facility in Estonia, New FMD Strain Emerges in Egypt - Swineweb.com - Complete Swine News, Markets, Commentary, and Technical Info](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15969-asf-hits-27-000-pig-facility-in-estonia-new-fmd-strain-emerges-in-egypt.md) | -0.3% | -2.9% |
| HOGS | 2019-04-22 | [Pork and Soybean Markets Adjust to African Swine Fever - ProAg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59588-pork-and-soybean-markets-adjust-to-african-swine-fever-proag.md) | -0.6% | +3.2% |
| HOGS | 2019-03-29 | [Hog prices rise sharply in the U.S. after new data shows toll of African swine fever on China's herd](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60241-hog-prices-rise-sharply-in-the-u-s-after-new-data-shows-toll-of-african-swine.md) | +3.0% | +12.5% |
| HOGS | 2019-10-31 | [Swine Fever Is Starting to Ripple Through U.S. Protein Markets - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56707-swine-fever-is-starting-to-ripple-through-u-s-protein-markets-bloomberg.md) | -1.5% | -5.9% |
| SBM | 2026-08-24 | [ASF, FMD and Classical Swine Fever Activity Highlight Global Disease Risks for Pork Industry - Swineweb.com - Complete Swine News, Markets, Commentary, and Technical Info](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15887-asf-fmd-and-classical-swine-fever-activity-highlight-global-disease-risks-for.md) | +6.4% | +12.0% |
| SBM | 2018-09-10 | [U.S. Pork Response African Swine Fever Prevention – Swine Health Information Center](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62909-u-s-pork-response-african-swine-fever-prevention-swine-health-information-center.md) | -2.2% | +0.4% |
| SBM | 2018-10-19 | [China says hog prices to rise ahead of Lunar New Year amid swine fever outbreaks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62543-china-says-hog-prices-to-rise-ahead-of-lunar-new-year-amid-swine-fever-outbreaks.md) | -3.8% | -3.4% |

## Sources

- swineweb.com: https://swineweb.com/u-s-pork-outlook-prrs-challenges-tighter-supplies-and-rising-prices/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.