# Soybean Oil Rallies Yet Exporters Struggle Without China Deals

> Soybean oil futures surged after the EPA reviewed refinery exemptions, which signaled more oil going into biofuels. Energy market weakness later pressured prices. US soybean exports remain stalled because China has not resumed purchases, while Brazil dominates Chinese imports.

- Date: 2025-08-27 · published 2025-08-27T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: policy · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23408-soybean-oil-rallies-yet-exporters-struggle-without-china-deals
- Commodities: [Soybean Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SBO.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

EPA biofuel policy is lifting soybean oil demand, but the lack of Chinese buying keeps soybean meal and bean export demand weak. The divergence favors oil over meal and beans.

## Read by commodity

- SBO: bullish ▲
- SOY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SBO | 2016-11-28 | [EPA Renewable Fuel Standard Rallies Soybean Oil Prices - farmdoc daily](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73747-epa-renewable-fuel-standard-rallies-soybean-oil-prices-farmdoc-daily.md) | +2.3% | -5.6% |
| SBO | 2025-08-14 | [Increased domestic soybean oil demand comes with challenges](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15095-increased-domestic-soybean-oil-demand-comes-with-challenges.md) | -3.9% | -3.7% |
| SBO | 2022-03-25 | [Soybean oil demand will expand as renewable diesel emerges as ideal biofuel - Indiana Corn and Soy](https://feedsoft.ai/events/15407-soybean-oil-demand-will-expand-as-renewable-diesel-emerges-as-ideal-biofuel.md) | -2.1% | +274.5% |
| SBO | 2022-03-20 | [Argentina raises export duties on soybean oil and flour from 31 to 33% - Infobae](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14049-argentina-raises-export-duties-on-soybean-oil-and-flour-from-31-to-33-infobae.md) | +3.4% | +278.5% |
| SBO | 2026-09-02 | [US soybean oil rally supports global vegetable oil market](https://feedsoft.ai/events/4538-us-soybean-oil-rally-supports-global-vegetable-oil-market.md) | -4.0% | -7.2% |
| SOY | 2017-11-28 | [Soybean meal: lower export duties in Argentina](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67812-soybean-meal-lower-export-duties-in-argentina.md) | +0.3% | -3.7% |
| SOY | 2019-11-20 | [A trade deal with China could end up hurting the U.S. soybean market -Braun](https://feedsoft.ai/events/55913-a-trade-deal-with-china-could-end-up-hurting-the-u-s-soybean-market-braun.md) | -3.0% | +1.9% |
| SOY | 2023-04-10 | [China makes an effort to reduce soybean imports](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36361-china-makes-an-effort-to-reduce-soybean-imports.md) | +0.5% | -1.6% |

## Sources

- stonex.com: https://www.stonex.com/en-gb/insights/08-27-2025-soybean-oil-rallies-yet-exporters-struggle-without-china-deals/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.