# Changing Patterns Building Confidence

> Australian 2025-26 production prospects are improving after regular rain through July, including the driest parts of South Australia. A negative Indian Ocean Dipole is increasingly likely, typically bringing above-average rainfall to southern Australia in spring.

- Date: 2025-08-14 · published 2025-08-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23268-changing-patterns-building-confidence
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md), [Canola Meal](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CANMEAL.md)

## Why it matters

Improving Australian wheat, barley and canola prospects expand export supply, which is bearish for global grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼
- CANMEAL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2023-03-28 | [Changing Weather Patterns Could Favor U.S. Wheat Production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/36936-changing-weather-patterns-could-favor-u-s-wheat-production.md) | -10.7% | -13.9% |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-20 | [EU Wheat In Good Shape After Rain Eases Concerns Over Dry Spring \| Checkout](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59022-eu-wheat-in-good-shape-after-rain-eases-concerns-over-dry-spring-checkout.md) | +10.5% | +9.7% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-31 | [Winter crop sowing is proceeding at a rapid pace in France](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22337-winter-crop-sowing-is-proceeding-at-a-rapid-pace-in-france.md) | -3.1% | -5.9% |
| WHEAT | 2022-11-18 | [Concerns about malt supply \| Stock Journal \| SA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/38761-concerns-about-malt-supply-stock-journal-sa.md) | +0.8% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2019-05-01 | [Strong chance of El Niño developing, but likely to be short-lived: BOM - Grain Central](https://feedsoft.ai/events/59013-strong-chance-of-el-nino-developing-but-likely-to-be-short-lived-bom-grain.md) | -4.6% | -9.2% |

## Sources

- advantagegrain.com.au: https://www.advantagegrain.com.au/changing-patterns-building-confidence

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.