# France Raises Wheat Crop Estimate, Sees Fall In Maize Output | ESM Magazine

> France's farm ministry raised its soft wheat estimate to 33.1 million tonnes, up from 32.6 million last month and 29% above the drought-hit 2024 crop. It forecast grain maize output would fall 5.6% to 13.9 million tonnes as drought and heat cut yields, and traders are watching a new heatwave near 40 degrees Celsius in southern France.

- Date: 2025-08-11 · published 2025-08-11T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region France · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23259-france-raises-wheat-crop-estimate-sees-fall-in-maize-output-esm-magazine
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

A larger French and EU wheat crop adds exportable supply and pressures wheat prices lower. A smaller maize crop tightens feed grain supply in Europe and supports corn prices.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: bullish ▲
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-06 | [France Increases Wheat Crop Estimate, Cautious On Maize \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/57523-france-increases-wheat-crop-estimate-cautious-on-maize-esm-magazine.md) | +0.1% | -3.0% |
| WHEAT | 2021-07-13 | [France Forecasts Increase In 2021 Soft Wheat Output \| ESM Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46021-france-forecasts-increase-in-2021-soft-wheat-output-esm-magazine.md) | +1.3% | -0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2021-11-09 | [France raises crop forecasts for wheat, maize and](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43990-france-raises-crop-forecasts-for-wheat-maize-and.md) | +1.8% | +0.7% |
| WHEAT | 2022-08-25 | [EU slashes maize crop forecast again, increases wheat harvest estimate \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39992-eu-slashes-maize-crop-forecast-again-increases-wheat-harvest-estimate-reuters.md) | +0.6% | +4.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-05-13 | [France reduces its soft wheat area estimates and predicts a drop in maize planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24613-france-reduces-its-soft-wheat-area-estimates-and-predicts-a-drop-in-maize.md) | -4.2% | -2.6% |
| CORN | 2022-08-25 | [EU slashes maize crop forecast again, increases wheat harvest estimate \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/39992-eu-slashes-maize-crop-forecast-again-increases-wheat-harvest-estimate-reuters.md) | +1.2% | +1.0% |
| CORN | 2025-05-13 | [France reduces its soft wheat area estimates and predicts a drop in maize planting](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24613-france-reduces-its-soft-wheat-area-estimates-and-predicts-a-drop-in-maize.md) | +2.3% | -0.9% |
| CORN | 2024-11-04 | [EU cuts 2024/25 maize, soft wheat crop estimates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27355-eu-cuts-2024-25-maize-soft-wheat-crop-estimates.md) | +2.5% | -0.9% |

## Sources

- esmmagazine.com: https://www.esmmagazine.com/supply-chain/france-raises-wheat-crop-estimate-sees-fall-in-maize-output-293933

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.