# With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?

> StoneX's Coffee Network article says ENSO-neutral is present with a 56% chance through August-October, and La Niña chances rise into fall and winter 2025-26. It lists typical La Niña impacts, including drier conditions in southern Brazil and Argentina and heavier rain in Colombia and Vietnam.

- Date: 2025-08-12 · published 2025-08-12T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Global · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23245-with-chances-of-a-la-nina-increasing-what-would-this-mean-for-coffee
- Commodities: [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Palm Oil](https://feedsoft.ai/c/PALMOIL.md)

## Why it matters

The article concerns coffee rather than feed grains, so its impact on feed commodities is indirect, though La Niña drought risk in South America would be a feed-relevant factor.

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| CORN | 2017-08-14 | [What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? \| The Weather Channel](https://feedsoft.ai/events/69375-what-does-lack-of-el-nino-la-nina-mean-for-winter-the-weather-channel.md) | -2.0% | -4.4% |
| CORN | 2024-07-29 | [What Does La Niña Mean for Agricultural Markets? Cocoa, Coffee, Sugar Changes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29166-what-does-la-nina-mean-for-agricultural-markets-cocoa-coffee-sugar-changes.md) | -1.0% | -4.8% |
| CORN | 2023-05-05 | [What an El Niño could mean for food prices - EPIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35868-what-an-el-nino-could-mean-for-food-prices-epic.md) | -0.2% | -7.5% |
| CORN | 2021-10-19 | [La Niña Is Back—What That Means for North and South American Crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44469-la-nina-is-back-what-that-means-for-north-and-south-american-crops.md) | +0.7% | +10.3% |
| CORN | 2025-03-03 | [What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25498-what-la-nina-s-departure-could-mean-for-u-s-ag.md) | -0.2% | +2.5% |
| SOY | 2024-07-29 | [What Does La Niña Mean for Agricultural Markets? Cocoa, Coffee, Sugar Changes - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29166-what-does-la-nina-mean-for-agricultural-markets-cocoa-coffee-sugar-changes.md) | -4.5% | -11.6% |
| SOY | 2023-05-05 | [What an El Niño could mean for food prices - EPIC](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35868-what-an-el-nino-could-mean-for-food-prices-epic.md) | -0.4% | -6.6% |
| SOY | 2021-10-19 | [La Niña Is Back—What That Means for North and South American Crops](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44469-la-nina-is-back-what-that-means-for-north-and-south-american-crops.md) | +1.3% | +2.9% |

## Sources

- stonex.com: https://www.stonex.com/en-us/insights/with-chances-of-a-la-nina-increasing-what-would-this-mean-for-coffee/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.