# Brief La Niña expected in fall 2025 before ENSO neutral returns, says US CPC | GMA News Online

> The US Climate Prediction Center says a brief La Niña is favored in fall and early winter 2025-26 before a return to ENSO-neutral, with neutral most likely through August-October at 56%. Forecasters expect a drier US Southern Plains winter and somewhat more favourable conditions for central/northern Brazil and Argentina.

- Date: 2025-08-14 · published 2025-08-14T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region US · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23243-brief-la-nina-expected-in-fall-2025-before-enso-neutral-returns-says-us-cpc-gma
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Expected favourable South American moisture supports larger planting prospects and bearish pressure on soybeans and corn, while a drier US Plains winter could support HRW wheat.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: bearish ▼
- CORN: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2024-10-23 | [Dry conditions in US Plains expected to worsen if La Niña develops \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27781-dry-conditions-in-us-plains-expected-to-worsen-if-la-nina-develops-world-grain.md) | -2.1% | -4.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-12-15 | [La Niña expected to continue through winter - Brownfield Ag News](https://feedsoft.ai/events/67402-la-nina-expected-to-continue-through-winter-brownfield-ag-news.md) | +5.4% | +4.8% |
| KWHEAT | 2016-11-30 | [La Niña Outlook, Impacts for Winter 2016–17 \| News \| National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73772-la-nina-outlook-impacts-for-winter-2016-17-news-national-centers-for.md) | -2.9% | +2.7% |
| KWHEAT | 2025-09-01 | [Return of La Nina a Distinct Likelihood This Fall](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22792-return-of-la-nina-a-distinct-likelihood-this-fall.md) | -0.1% | +3.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-02-12 | [Drought relief expected to help grain and cattle outlook - High Plains Journal](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66423-drought-relief-expected-to-help-grain-and-cattle-outlook-high-plains-journal.md) | +2.8% | +9.3% |
| SOY | 2025-07-23 | [Minimal Drought Expected Through Fall 2025 in Primary US Crop Areas](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13074-minimal-drought-expected-through-fall-2025-in-primary-us-crop-areas.md) | -2.8% | +0.3% |
| SOY | 2016-12-09 | [La Niña still present, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favoured during Jan-Mar 2017](https://feedsoft.ai/events/73404-la-nina-still-present-with-a-transition-to-enso-neutral-favoured-during-jan-mar.md) | +0.2% | -3.0% |
| SOY | 2026-01-08 | [US CPC sees 75% chance of La Nina transition by early 2026 \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20952-us-cpc-sees-75-chance-of-la-nina-transition-by-early-2026-reuters.md) | -2.1% | +5.7% |

## Sources

- gmanetwork.com: https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/scitech/science/955950/brief-la-ni-a-expected-in-fall-2025-before-enso-neutral-returns-says-us-cpc/story/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.