# El Niño and La Niña affect grain production in Goiás and the Federal District - Cultivar Magazine

> An Embrapa study of three decades of data in Goiás and the Federal District found El Niño years produced more yield declines than expected, while La Niña years were linked to more frequent gains. The researchers propose adjusting Brazil's fixed planting-window guidance annually using improved ENSO forecasts.

- Date: 2025-08-19 · published 2025-08-19T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23242-el-nino-and-la-nina-affect-grain-production-in-goias-and-the-federal-district
- Commodities: [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

The findings improve understanding of ENSO-driven yield risk for Brazilian beans, corn and soybeans in the Cerrado, which matters for expectations of the next crop.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- CORN: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| SOY | 2017-03-29 | [Grain production - Between Risks and Records - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71827-grain-production-between-risks-and-records-revista-cultivar.md) | -3.5% | -2.7% |
| SOY | 2023-06-29 | [Soybean Production and Demand Are Up in the Air](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35544-soybean-production-and-demand-are-up-in-the-air.md) | +5.2% | +5.6% |
| SOY | 2017-04-20 | [Summer grain harvest shows good productivity - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71354-summer-grain-harvest-shows-good-productivity-revista-cultivar.md) | -0.5% | +2.7% |
| SOY | 2025-04-15 | [PR 2024/25 Harvest: harvests advance, but climate demands attention - Cultivar Magazine](https://feedsoft.ai/events/13502-pr-2024-25-harvest-harvests-advance-but-climate-demands-attention-cultivar.md) | -0.6% | +2.4% |
| SOY | 2026-02-17 | [Climate Prediction Center: La Niña Likely to Fade, El Niño May Develop by Summer - Southeast AgNET](https://feedsoft.ai/events/20522-climate-prediction-center-la-nina-likely-to-fade-el-nino-may-develop-by-summer.md) | +0.1% | +2.0% |
| CORN | 2017-03-29 | [Grain production - Between Risks and Records - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71827-grain-production-between-risks-and-records-revista-cultivar.md) | +0.8% | +0.4% |
| CORN | 2018-10-22 | [Managing El Niño And La Niña In Lao Agriculture](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62469-managing-el-nino-and-la-nina-in-lao-agriculture.md) | -1.2% | -6.0% |
| CORN | 2017-03-14 | [Rain distribution favored soybean harvest in Mato Grosso - Revista Cultivar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/71828-rain-distribution-favored-soybean-harvest-in-mato-grosso-revista-cultivar.md) | +1.2% | +1.9% |

## Sources

- revistacultivar.com: https://revistacultivar.com/news/El-Nino-and-La-Nina-affect-grain-production-in-Goi%C3%A1s-and-the-Federal-District

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.