# Australian dollar’s comeback could be short-lived

> CBA economists forecast the Australian dollar will rise against the US dollar over the coming months, peaking around March 2026 before falling again by end-2026. They expect the US dollar to bottom in early 2026 as US growth regains momentum and oil prices ease.

- Date: 2025-09-26 · published 2025-09-26T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23140-australian-dollar-s-comeback-could-be-short-lived
- Commodities: [Australian Dollar (USD per AUD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/AUDUSD.md), [Crude Oil (WTI)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WTI.md)

## Why it matters

A forecast stronger Aussie would modestly weigh on Australian grain and meal export competitiveness, though the outlook is a currency view rather than a supply or demand event.

## Read by commodity

- WTI: bearish ▼
- AUDUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WTI | 2022-07-26 | [Australian dollar rocket running out of fuel \| Investing.com AU](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40742-australian-dollar-rocket-running-out-of-fuel-investing-com-au.md) | -3.1% | -6.5% |
| WTI | 2018-02-12 | [Canadian Dollar's Correlation to Oil is Back, and this Could Spell Downside](https://feedsoft.ai/events/66729-canadian-dollar-s-correlation-to-oil-is-back-and-this-could-spell-downside.md) | +4.4% | +3.6% |
| WTI | 2018-11-30 | [Baystreet.ca - USD/CAD - GDP Could Boost Canadian Dollar](https://feedsoft.ai/events/62277-baystreet-ca-usd-cad-gdp-could-boost-canadian-dollar.md) | +0.1% | -12.1% |
| WTI | 2022-06-22 | [Australian Dollar Eyes BRICS Summit After Mixed PMI Data \| Forex trading, free forex education \| Forex.ca](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41210-australian-dollar-eyes-brics-summit-after-mixed-pmi-data-forex-trading-free.md) | +2.2% | -6.2% |
| WTI | 2020-08-28 | [Fed Shift Boosts U.S. Dollar, But Asian Markets Shrug](https://feedsoft.ai/events/51529-fed-shift-boosts-u-s-dollar-but-asian-markets-shrug.md) | -3.6% | -6.5% |

## Sources

- commbank.com.au: https://www.commbank.com.au/articles/newsroom/2025/09/australian-dollar-comeback.html

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.