# Aussie dollar strengthens as RBA holds rates and signals cautious easing path - OFX

> The Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged at 3.60% and signaled a cautious approach to future cuts. Market odds of a November cut dropped to about 38%, and markets priced only one more cut over the next year.

- Date: 2025-09-30 · published 2025-09-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Australia · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23136-aussie-dollar-strengthens-as-rba-holds-rates-and-signals-cautious-easing-path
- Commodities: [Australian Dollar (USD per AUD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/AUDUSD.md), [US Dollar (Broad)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/DXY.md)

## Why it matters

The more cautious RBA relative to the Fed supports the Aussie dollar, which affects the competitiveness of Australian grain and meal exports against US supply.

## Read by commodity

- DXY: bearish ▼
- AUDUSD: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| DXY | 2019-10-30 | [Dollar dips as Fed signals pause in rate-cutting cycle](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56773-dollar-dips-as-fed-signals-pause-in-rate-cutting-cycle.md) | +0.1% | +1.0% |
| DXY | 2017-11-07 | [Dollar Sags As US Yields Slip, Aussie Takes RBA Hold In Stride - Babypips.com](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68231-dollar-sags-as-us-yields-slip-aussie-takes-rba-hold-in-stride-babypips-com.md) | -0.2% | -0.8% |
| DXY | 2023-12-22 | [Peso strengthens to best rate against the US dollar since August](https://feedsoft.ai/events/32933-peso-strengthens-to-best-rate-against-the-us-dollar-since-august.md) | -0.8% | +1.5% |
| DXY | 2023-12-13 | [Dollar drops as Fed signals coming rate cuts](https://feedsoft.ai/events/8296-dollar-drops-as-fed-signals-coming-rate-cuts.md) | -1.0% | -0.7% |
| DXY | 2021-10-28 | [Dollar falls on euro strength after ECB meeting as rates move \| Financial Post](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44744-dollar-falls-on-euro-strength-after-ecb-meeting-as-rates-move-financial-post.md) | +0.6% | +2.5% |

## Sources

- ofx.com: https://www.ofx.com/en-au/forex-news/daily-and-weekly-market-news/2025/10/01/aussie-dollar-strengthens-as-rba-holds-rates-and-signals-cautious-easing-path/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.