# Euro Firms as Inflation Data Backs Rate Caution

> The euro traded near $1.18 after national inflation reports from Germany, France, Spain and Italy showed rising prices. Euro-zone inflation was expected to reach a five-month high in September, which reinforces expectations that the ECB will hold rates.

- Date: 2025-09-30 · published 2025-09-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Euro Zone · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23094-euro-firms-as-inflation-data-backs-rate-caution
- Commodities: [Euro (USD per EUR)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/EURUSD.md)

## Why it matters

Sticky euro-zone inflation and expected ECB holds keep the euro-dollar rate range-bound, which has only a modest effect on the dollar cost of European-sourced feed inputs.

## Read by commodity

- EURUSD: neutral

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| EURUSD | 2024-07-30 | [Euro holds above 3-week low ahead of inflation data](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29483-euro-holds-above-3-week-low-ahead-of-inflation-data.md) | +1.3% | +3.2% |
| EURUSD | 2025-10-31 | [Eurozone inflation slows to 2.1%, yet Lagarde stays cautious \| Euronews](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22628-eurozone-inflation-slows-to-2-1-yet-lagarde-stays-cautious-euronews.md) | -0.2% | +0.5% |
| EURUSD | 2024-08-30 | [FX Daily: US and eurozone inflation in focus \| articles \| ING THINK](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29011-fx-daily-us-and-eurozone-inflation-in-focus-articles-ing-think.md) | 0.0% | +0.7% |
| EURUSD | 2021-12-07 | [Forex: where next for the Euro as inflation surges to 4.9%? \| IG International](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43833-forex-where-next-for-the-euro-as-inflation-surges-to-4-9-ig-international.md) | +0.1% | +0.5% |
| EURUSD | 2021-07-08 | [ECB tweaks inflation target, bolsters climate role \| Reuters](https://feedsoft.ai/events/46296-ecb-tweaks-inflation-target-bolsters-climate-role-reuters.md) | +0.2% | +0.3% |

## Sources

- tradingeconomics.com: https://tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/currency/news/489093

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.