# FX Weekly Overview (Brazil Issue)

> StoneX's weekly FX outlook for Brazil flags the USD/BRL pair as sensitive to a possible Trump-Lula conversation, a potential US government shutdown and upcoming economic data. The week's review noted in-line US PCE data and an unexpectedly upward revised US Q2 GDP.

- Date: 2025-09-29 · published 2025-09-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: macro · region Brazil · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/23091-fx-weekly-overview-brazil-issue
- Commodities: [Brazilian Real (BRL per USD)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/USDBRL.md)

## Why it matters

Expected rapprochement between Brazil and the US could ease trade tensions that have affected soybean and corn flows, with a mild bearish effect on the dollar-real rate.

## Read by commodity

- USDBRL: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| USDBRL | 2023-07-31 | [FX Weekly Overview (Brazil Issue)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/35240-fx-weekly-overview-brazil-issue.md) | +2.6% | +3.1% |
| USDBRL | 2025-04-28 | [FX Weekly Overview (Brazil Issue)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25313-fx-weekly-overview-brazil-issue.md) | -0.6% | +0.1% |
| USDBRL | 2025-06-30 | [FX Weekly Overview (Brazil Issue)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/24420-fx-weekly-overview-brazil-issue.md) | -0.3% | +2.1% |
| USDBRL | 2024-03-04 | [FX Weekly Overview (Brazil Issue)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/31430-fx-weekly-overview-brazil-issue.md) | +0.6% | +1.4% |
| USDBRL | 2022-03-25 | [FX Weekly Summary (Brazil Issue)](https://feedsoft.ai/events/42474-fx-weekly-summary-brazil-issue.md) | -1.9% | -4.1% |

## Sources

- stonex.com: https://www.stonex.com/en-us/insights/fx-weekly-overview-brazil-issue-2025-09-29/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.