# SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – September 29, 2025 - The Sizov Report blog

> The European Commission raised its EU soft wheat production forecast to 132.6 million tonnes from 128.1 million and its export estimate to 30.1 million. Russia's Rostov region moved to a federal state of emergency over widespread crop failure. Argentina's 2024/25 soybean exports were estimated at 10.5 million tonnes after export taxes were suspended.

- Date: 2025-09-29 · published 2025-09-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22929-sovecon-russian-and-global-grain-market-news-september-29-2025-the-sizov-report
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Soybeans](https://feedsoft.ai/c/SOY.md)

## Why it matters

A larger EU crop and steady Russian and Argentine exports add supply to global wheat markets, while Rostov's crop failure is a localized offset that limits the downside.

## Read by commodity

- SOY: neutral
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-02-28 | [SovEcon: Russian and global grain market news – February 28, 2025 - The Sizov Report blog](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26075-sovecon-russian-and-global-grain-market-news-february-28-2025-the-sizov-report.md) | -3.6% | +0.3% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-29 | [Arable Market Report – 29 September 2025 \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22913-arable-market-report-29-september-2025-ahdb.md) | -0.6% | +1.8% |
| WHEAT | 2019-09-26 | [Grain Transportation Report, September 26, 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56993-grain-transportation-report-september-26-2019.md) | +0.9% | -0.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-30 | [Global Grain Market: Daily Recap 30.09.2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22894-global-grain-market-daily-recap-30-09-2025.md) | +0.4% | +5.9% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-21 | [Global grain production to rise in 2025/26: Grain market daily \| AHDB](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25624-global-grain-production-to-rise-in-2025-26-grain-market-daily-ahdb.md) | -1.2% | -1.6% |
| SOY | 2025-09-18 | [Grain Transportation Report, September 18, 2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23075-grain-transportation-report-september-18-2025.md) | -3.3% | -3.6% |
| SOY | 2019-09-26 | [Grain Transportation Report, September 26, 2019](https://feedsoft.ai/events/56993-grain-transportation-report-september-26-2019.md) | +2.8% | +5.0% |
| SOY | 2021-09-28 | [#Agbiz: Market views on the 2021/22 global and domestic grains and oilseeds harvest \| OFM](https://feedsoft.ai/events/44991-agbiz-market-views-on-the-2021-22-global-and-domestic-grains-and-oilseeds.md) | -4.0% | -3.9% |

## Sources

- blog.sizov.report: https://blog.sizov.report/sovecon-russian-and-global-grain-market-news-september-29-2025/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.