# Weekly Analysis 29.09.2025 - 03.10.2025

> A federal government shutdown suspended USDA's WASDE and weekly export sales reports during the week. The FAO raised its world grain production forecast to a record 2.97 billion tons, with higher wheat output in Canada and Russia and higher maize in the US and China. Ukraine also expanded its winter wheat sowing projection by 8%.

- Date: 2025-09-29 · published 2025-09-29T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Global · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22927-weekly-analysis-29-09-2025-03-10-2025
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Corn](https://feedsoft.ai/c/CORN.md)

## Why it matters

Higher global output and a data blackout that removes official benchmarks point to ample wheat and corn supply, with added volatility once USDA data resumes.

## Read by commodity

- CORN: neutral
- WHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2025-07-11 | [July WASDE Analysis 07/11/2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/23710-july-wasde-analysis-07-11-2025.md) | -2.3% | -2.1% |
| WHEAT | 2019-08-29 | [Analysis: Grain prices unlikely to rise in next few months - Farmers Weekly](https://feedsoft.ai/events/5700-analysis-grain-prices-unlikely-to-rise-in-next-few-months-farmers-weekly.md) | -3.2% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2024-11-20 | [Analysis of Australia's Grain and Feed Outlook for 2024/2025 \| Paradigm Futures](https://feedsoft.ai/events/27363-analysis-of-australia-s-grain-and-feed-outlook-for-2024-2025-paradigm-futures.md) | -0.0% | +0.4% |
| WHEAT | 2025-09-30 | [Global Grain Market: Daily Recap 30.09.2025](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22894-global-grain-market-daily-recap-30-09-2025.md) | +0.4% | +5.9% |
| WHEAT | 2024-07-10 | [Australian winter crops forecast to increase by 9% in 2024/25 \| Farm Weekly \| WA](https://feedsoft.ai/events/29199-australian-winter-crops-forecast-to-increase-by-9-in-2024-25-farm-weekly-wa.md) | -4.1% | -2.7% |
| CORN | 2022-05-23 | [Grains Weekly Analysis](https://feedsoft.ai/events/14936-grains-weekly-analysis.md) | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| CORN | 2025-04-18 | [W15 2025: Maize Weekly Update](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25120-w15-2025-maize-weekly-update.md) | -0.1% | -5.5% |
| CORN | 2023-08-28 | [Corn Weekly Report](https://feedsoft.ai/events/34583-corn-weekly-report.md) | -1.3% | -8.5% |

## Sources

- grainsprices.com: https://grainsprices.com/article/19248

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.