# Wheat Falling as USDA Raises Production

> USDA's Small Grains Summary put all-wheat production at 1.984 billion bushels, 63 million above the average trade guess, with winter wheat at 1.402 billion. The Grain Stocks report also showed September 1 wheat stocks at 2.12 billion bushels, above expectations. CBOT and KC wheat futures fell 11 to 12 cents at midday.

- Date: 2025-09-30 · published 2025-09-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region US · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22925-wheat-falling-as-usda-raises-production
- Commodities: [Wheat (HRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/KWHEAT.md), [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md)

## Why it matters

Larger-than-expected US production and stocks add supply to a market already well supplied, pressuring wheat prices and feed wheat values.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- KWHEAT: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| KWHEAT | 2026-10-09 | [Wheat Faces Friday Pressure as USDA Raises Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/460-wheat-faces-friday-pressure-as-usda-raises-stocks.md) | -0.9% | -10.4% |
| KWHEAT | 2026-01-15 | [USDA raises projections for US, global wheat ending stocks \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/21103-usda-raises-projections-for-us-global-wheat-ending-stocks-world-grain.md) | +0.7% | +6.1% |
| KWHEAT | 2017-02-02 | [Wheat producers facing below cost of production prices](https://feedsoft.ai/events/72524-wheat-producers-facing-below-cost-of-production-prices.md) | +0.3% | +4.5% |
| KWHEAT | 2019-02-05 | [USW Reports on World Wheat Production and Exports - U.S. Wheat Associates](https://feedsoft.ai/events/60536-usw-reports-on-world-wheat-production-and-exports-u-s-wheat-associates.md) | -3.3% | -13.0% |
| KWHEAT | 2018-12-12 | [USDA raises 2019 wheat and corn ending stocks \| 2018-12-12  \| World Grain](https://feedsoft.ai/events/61509-usda-raises-2019-wheat-and-corn-ending-stocks-2018-12-12-world-grain.md) | +8.4% | +4.5% |
| WHEAT | 2022-07-22 | [AAFC raises wheat, canola production estimates \| Farmtario](https://feedsoft.ai/events/40451-aafc-raises-wheat-canola-production-estimates-farmtario.md) | -10.2% | -1.7% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-09 | [Wheat Faces Friday Pressure as USDA Raises Stocks](https://feedsoft.ai/events/460-wheat-faces-friday-pressure-as-usda-raises-stocks.md) | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| WHEAT | 2017-09-13 | [France raises again its forecast for soft wheat production](https://feedsoft.ai/events/68911-france-raises-again-its-forecast-for-soft-wheat-production.md) | +0.7% | +4.1% |

## Sources

- barchart.com: https://www.barchart.com/story/news/35135025/wheat-falling-as-usda-raises-production

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.