# A Weather Risk Case Study: Canadian Oats Market

> Weather analysis from CropProphet indicates that precipitation across Saskatchewan's oat belt was well below normal through June and July, with soil moisture deficits lasting into August. This contradicted market optimism and crop tour estimates of about 95 bushels per acre against a five-year average of 86.2.

- Date: 2025-09-08 · published 2025-09-08T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: weather · region Canada · magnitude low
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22921-a-weather-risk-case-study-canadian-oats-market
- Commodities: [Oats](https://feedsoft.ai/c/OATS.md)

## Why it matters

If dryness cuts Canadian oat output below consensus, supply tightens for exporters and buyers, supporting oat prices.

## Read by commodity

- OATS: bullish ▲

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| OATS | 2022-01-03 | [Oats futures on the rise — LC Marketing](https://feedsoft.ai/events/43203-oats-futures-on-the-rise-lc-marketing.md) | -2.2% | +1.8% |
| OATS | 2022-04-11 | [Oats Hit Record High With Canadian Prairies Staying Dry - Bloomberg](https://feedsoft.ai/events/41890-oats-hit-record-high-with-canadian-prairies-staying-dry-bloomberg.md) | -4.2% | -18.8% |
| OATS | 2024-12-18 | [Canadian Oats Supply, Canadian Farmers See Leaner Times \| Paradigm Futures](https://feedsoft.ai/events/7782-canadian-oats-supply-canadian-farmers-see-leaner-times-paradigm-futures.md) | -8.7% | -3.9% |
| OATS | 2021-09-23 | [CBOT oats climb on supply woes - AgCanada](https://feedsoft.ai/events/45122-cbot-oats-climb-on-supply-woes-agcanada.md) | +4.8% | +19.6% |
| OATS | 2017-07-06 | [Oats buyers filled for now, watching weather - Country Guide](https://feedsoft.ai/events/70014-oats-buyers-filled-for-now-watching-weather-country-guide.md) | +7.3% | +3.5% |

## Sources

- cropprophet.com: https://www.cropprophet.com/canadian-oats-market-a-weather-risk-case-study/

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.