# Australia Raises Wheat Forecast to Fourth Largest After Rain - Bloomberg

> Australia's 2025 grains harvest is expected to reach about 62 million tonnes, a 12% increase from the June estimate, according to the quarterly crop report. The latest estimates sit about 26% above the 10-year average. Wheat is forecast as the fourth-largest crop on record.

- Date: 2025-09-01 · published 2025-09-01T12:00:00.000Z
- Category: report · region Australia · magnitude medium
- Page: https://feedsoft.ai/events/22823-australia-raises-wheat-forecast-to-fourth-largest-after-rain-bloomberg
- Commodities: [Wheat (SRW)](https://feedsoft.ai/c/WHEAT.md), [Barley](https://feedsoft.ai/c/BARLEY.md)

## Why it matters

A harvest 12% above June's forecast adds export supply from a major wheat and barley exporter, adding bearish pressure on world grain prices.

## Read by commodity

- WHEAT: bearish ▼
- BARLEY: bearish ▼

## Similar past events

| Commodity | Date | Event | 5-day % | 20-day % |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WHEAT | 2024-12-03 | [Australia raises wheat production forecast by 60,000 tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/26917-australia-raises-wheat-production-forecast-by-60-000-tons.md) | +1.1% | +2.7% |
| WHEAT | 2024-09-03 | [Australia raises wheat production forecast by 2.7 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/28282-australia-raises-wheat-production-forecast-by-2-7-mln-tons.md) | +1.6% | +11.6% |
| WHEAT | 2025-10-20 | [Australia’s wheat harvest forecast raised to near-record level](https://feedsoft.ai/events/22354-australia-s-wheat-harvest-forecast-raised-to-near-record-level.md) | +0.7% | -2.8% |
| WHEAT | 2025-03-03 | [Australia increases wheat harvest forecast to 34.1 mln tons](https://feedsoft.ai/events/25546-australia-increases-wheat-harvest-forecast-to-34-1-mln-tons.md) | -3.4% | +0.5% |
| WHEAT | 2026-10-13 | [Australia’s winter harvest forecast ‘large but lower’ – Rabobank](https://feedsoft.ai/events/17071-australia-s-winter-harvest-forecast-large-but-lower-rabobank.md) | -0.4% | — |

## Sources

- bloomberg.com: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-01/australia-raises-wheat-forecast-to-fourth-largest-after-rains

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Data from Feedsoft AI (https://feedsoft.ai/). For information only; not investment advice.